Asian League · resolved market
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fedda8bc97d14d669e700f0a051b5009f4165d1b3752c55842de33f84f6a6cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,765
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,765 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 16c | 6,344$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.23 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 28c | 2,702$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.45 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 12c | 2,018$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.8 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 72c | 923.78$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.9 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 15c | 799.97$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 108 | 23.1%25 W · 83 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…8148backed Over | 28c | 699.81$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.95 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 22c | 641.81$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.2 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…6dfbbacked Under | 77c | 522.84$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Over | 17c | 472.84$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.96 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 72c | 412.37$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.46 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…8220backed Over | 29c | 349.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 72c | 241.53$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.63 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 72c | 220.29$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.68 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 5c | 219.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 71c | 208.45$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.45 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…3876backed Under | 73c | 202.74$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 20c | 137.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 73c | 133.18$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.96 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5df…da1fbacked Under | 76c | 131.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Under | 72c | 120$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 72c | 95$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 72c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 326 | 54%176 W · 150 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Under | 72c | 62.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 26c | 61.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c7…216abacked Under | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0cccbacked Under | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…6ef0backed Under | 78c | 35.73$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4438…f659backed Under | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…802bbacked Under | 68c | 22.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +7.7wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xce6a…77b8backed Under | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…7ab7backed Under | 73c | 20.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 206 | 38.8%80 W · 126 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 72c | 14.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +15.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…a698backed Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: Qingdao Hainiu FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-2.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-1.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-2.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.