Champions League · resolved market
Will Flamengo beat Esperance Sportive?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa96559d1467c88ac44caced8cebc66a731ec0553909cb260fbad7b224fa97327
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,889
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,235
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,889 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 24c | 35,591$8,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,509.1 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked Yes | 74c | 22,269$16,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,800.12 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 60cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 75c | 9,927$7,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,456.06 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…f137backed Yes | 76c | 6,327$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.72 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 27c | 5,900$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 27c | 3,107$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.98 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 30c | 2,386$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.28 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 70c | 1,843$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.9 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Yes | 75c | 1,501$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.31 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 77c | 1,393$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.05 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 76c | 1,232$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.76 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 26c | 950.4$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.15 | 187 | 58.8%110 W · 77 L | +18.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed No | 26c | 747.93$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.98 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe087…c9fdbacked No | 26c | 745$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 74c | 417.21$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.47 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Yes | 73c | 411.01$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.01 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed No | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 28c | 351.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…1d8cbacked Yes | 75c | 333.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes | 78c | 308.71$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.71 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…2626backed Yes | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68bb…812cbacked Yes | 75c | 268.28$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.28 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…4928backed No | 26c | 245$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9140…fedabacked Yes | 74c | 245$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52c0…ab57backed Yes | 74c | 240$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 71c | 203.9$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.13 | 240 | 47.1%113 W · 127 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 77c | 203.9$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.9 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4c…3a34backed Yes | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 25c | 159.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 26c | 152$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c6…4162backed No | 18c | 151.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Yes | 75c | 150$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.98 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd44…09fabacked Yes | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 76cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -14.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked No | 28c | 135$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 14c | 134.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x828f…fa80backed Yes | 75c | 134.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…0de1backed Yes | 75c | 132.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…6fe4backed Yes | 77c | 131$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 74c | 128$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf061…2572backed No | 28c | 108.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 25c | 105.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…4abbbacked Yes | 80c | 91.57$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8990…79adbacked Yes | 74c | 90$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aaa…eae8backed Yes | 71c | 90$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed No | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…5349backed Yes | 74c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a85…a1bdbacked Yes | 78c | 74.31$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…ef77backed Yes | 73c | 71.68$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked No | 25c | 62.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0f…addabacked Yes | 73c | 61.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked No | 28c | 54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -7.7wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -57%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 28c | 53.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 155 | 38.1%59 W · 96 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…d3ddbacked Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c7…b990backed Yes | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…89dcbacked Yes | 76c | 30.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf12…1d8cbacked Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac2…1966backed Yes | 75c | 26.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…9f56backed Yes | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51c…6de3backed Yes | 74c | 24.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 75c | 23.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 204 | 62.3%127 W · 77 L | +19.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd30d…a159backed Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 72c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2535…d90ebacked Yes | 74c | 16.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Flamengo beat Esperance Sportive?this page
- Will Esperance Sportive beat Flamengo?No won
- Will Flamengo vs. Esperance Sportive end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.