TailMyPicks
Market

Asian League · resolved market

Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,545
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,585

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,545 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under52c5,607$2,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,715.9119340.9%79 W · 114 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under43c2,435$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,396.775,96346%2,744 W · 3,219 L+46.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1556…b722backed Over53c1,900$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0071631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-40.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over48c1,897$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.872,52842.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L+53.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa704…11c1backed Over61c1,639$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003461.8%21 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick71cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Under63c1,160$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.13574.3%26 W · 9 L+8.7wins+0.25per pick49cpaid+52.2%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xe6bf…8380backed Under38c1,000$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6203855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over41c999.99$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4105846.6%27 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Under40c945.23$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.151040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over59c762.2$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.3490544.9%406 W · 499 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f9c…df69backed Over43c640.88$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.58714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick51cpaid-68.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under59c570.13$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.961,66236.2%602 W · 1,060 L-34.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over39c521.28$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.476642.4%28 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under49c520.23$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.652,52039.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over15c483$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.0427337%101 W · 172 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cee…4191backed Over45c476.97$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2161050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under38c449.95$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.971,74950.7%887 W · 862 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Under52c420.36$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.522853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over58c403.15$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.8176239.2%299 W · 463 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed Over62c389.74$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.644035%14 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over45c379.33$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.231,31956.7%748 W · 571 L+64.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over58c351.73$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.296950.7%35 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Over50c350$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1769227.2%25 W · 67 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1c8…023abacked Over58c349.99$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.793164.5%20 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x574f…6849backed Over58c336.69$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.28933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-40.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under33c283$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.0212939.5%51 W · 78 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over69c281.15$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.9915133.8%51 W · 100 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa739…19c8backed Over54c277.78$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15050%0 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa8b9…775dbacked Under41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.93129%9 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc09b…1478backed Under41c234.18$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.18666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+170.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9315…afc1backed Over70c214.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over58c199.97$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.486454.7%35 W · 29 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over58c194.8$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.1996846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over60c176.42$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.991,46435.6%521 W · 943 L-33.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24d3…7a05backed Under36c176$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.64580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+55.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ded…b549backed Over64c176$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.6420%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe2cb…0c27backed Under30c172$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.4580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+64.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa50a…54c0backed Over70c172$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.430%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under74c167.78$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.252748.1%13 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x425e…ecfabacked Over60c167$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.27050%35 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over35c166.84$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4193535.2%329 W · 606 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5893…f124backed Under37c162$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.06580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+52.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over11c162$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.821,35745.5%617 W · 740 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc150…b7bbbacked Over63c161.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.0620%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under47c160$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.426136.8%96 W · 165 L-18.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd5e8…710fbacked Under55c153.34$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.55366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2097…cc08backed Under33c152$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.84580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+58.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb76e…bfb9backed Over67c152$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.8420%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Over44c149.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.412152.1%63 W · 58 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd49e…3836backed Under32c145$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.6475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+54.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe484…50efbacked Over68c145$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.630%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb403…dcabbacked Over61c143$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.2320%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4748…3f57backed Under39c143$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.23580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+53%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Under38c138.59$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.937441.9%31 W · 43 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1d6…2942backed Over69c135$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.1530%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcbb6…1f31backed Under31c134.99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.14580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+62.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b99…8f62backed Over57c131.58$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Under48c128.35$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.3525742%108 W · 149 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ae3…585cbacked Under38c128$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.36580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+54.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x08e7…d5b3backed Over62c128$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3620%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3d0…2fefbacked Under67c118.12$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.072369.6%16 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over61c115.93$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3437662.5%235 W · 141 L+61.2wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+35.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x719e…ab05backed Under28c108$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.81580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+68.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x494b…bfbebacked Over72c107.99$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7530%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc2c4…a9adbacked Over69c104.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.4440%0 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6b2f…42ccbacked Under31c104.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.44475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+52.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over62c103.23$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6414047.1%66 W · 74 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4711…d44cbacked Under27c103$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.19580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+71.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfafb…c859backed Over73c103$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.1940%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015035.3%53 W · 97 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74d8…3b2bbacked Over60c99.55$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01e3…2bafbacked Over70c99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa886…e656backed Under30c99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.3450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81ac…0170backed Under29c93$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.03450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36d1…6da3backed Over71c93$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.03333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e8…5cd6backed Over65c90.77$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed Over45c88.88$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404621.7%10 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-47.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over61c88.4$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1528040.4%113 W · 167 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x942b…d2b4backed Over72c88$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3858…234bbacked Under28c88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.36450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over60c87.23$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7639861.8%246 W · 152 L+56.9wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+33.2%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xf027…f94abacked Over58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under39c85.97$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.441,99154.1%1,078 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ef…6037backed Over74c80$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf869…118fbacked Under27c80$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.4450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+26.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50ca…fde3backed Under32c78$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.04475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+52.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e36…0d8bbacked Over68c78$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0440%0 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4dea…4002backed Over69c75$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7540%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x80dd…0c24backed Under31c75$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.75475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+54.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b6a…6e97backed Under39c75$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.751225%3 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-44.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x58e4…3876backed Under67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.634566.7%30 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Over62c74.6$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.253548.6%17 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbac…38d0backed Over64c72.78$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.23333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick67cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Over51c67$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.488347%39 W · 44 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under56c66.84$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4135947.4%170 W · 189 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x856d…c13bbacked Over73c65$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6185…1b48backed Under27c65$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.45450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+26.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x056b…5a03backed Under40c64.29$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.576437.5%24 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.69549.5%47 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c90…a7ecbacked Over76c59.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5920%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.