TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,920
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,993

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,920 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Over10c4,441$422 inLost-$422.42,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over21c857.33$180 inLost-$180.0414429.2%42 W · 102 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under79c820.38$648 inWon+$172.2813746.7%64 W · 73 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under74c744.51$553 inWon+$191.352,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0f1…92d2backed Under80c625$500 inWon+$125785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick77cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ee…5513backed Over21c546.89$116 inLost-$115.9211812.7%15 W · 103 L-0.5wins0.00per pick13cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Over21c500$105 inLost-$1053834.2%13 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x57ef…044abacked Over28c499.99$140 inLost-$1403246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over20c499.97$100 inLost-$99.996735.8%24 W · 43 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+24.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over22c300$66 inLost-$6615133.8%51 W · 100 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under80c205.95$164 inWon+$41.691,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under80c153.12$122 inWon+$30.622166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over21c135$28 inLost-$28.3527639.5%109 W · 167 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under78c129.02$101 inWon+$28.381,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over17c120.48$20 inLost-$20.481,35645.5%617 W · 739 L+15.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over21c89.64$19 inLost-$19.041,44335.3%509 W · 934 L-36.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd102…42c8backed Under78c81.1$63 inWon+$17.843100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c52…99e1backed Under78c79.3$62 inWon+$17.38265.9%54 W · 28 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under79c72.51$57 inWon+$15.2314744.9%66 W · 81 L-10.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under79c42$33 inWon+$8.8254354.9%298 W · 245 L-12.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58e4…3876backed Under75c40$30 inWon+$104566.7%30 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf08b…7e76backed Under77c25.97$20 inWon+$5.973063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc15a…5bd2backed Under74c20$15 inWon+$5.21258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.