TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Qingdao Xihaian FCof Chengdu Rongcheng FC, Qingdao Xihaian FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,945
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,096

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,945 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC7c3,766$248 inLost-$248.232,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC2c718.45$16 inLost-$16.171,35645.5%617 W · 739 L+15.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC30c485.01$145 inLost-$144.7874739.4%294 W · 453 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC11c420.7$48 inLost-$47.945,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c5b…a736backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC33c381.82$126 inLost-$1261827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-45.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC7c303.64$22 inLost-$22.12,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC10c299.99$30 inLost-$3015133.8%51 W · 100 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Qingdao Xihaian FC71c285.45$203 inWon+$82.781,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC30c109.99$33 inLost-$3342351.3%217 W · 206 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d07…6555backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC29c106.9$31 inLost-$3140%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe253…b9c7backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC29c104.66$30 inLost-$30.356038.3%23 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b27…0b98backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC29c103.45$30 inLost-$302962.1%18 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC33c90.91$30 inLost-$3017630.1%53 W · 123 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC31c83.48$26 inLost-$25.8815352.9%81 W · 72 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Qingdao Xihaian FC68c73.53$50 inWon+$23.5321367.6%144 W · 69 L0.0wins0.00per pick68cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Qingdao Xihaian FC71c70$50 inWon+$20.314744.9%66 W · 81 L-10.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x653b…685ebacked Qingdao Xihaian FC72c27.78$20 inWon+$7.78683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick70cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0c0…482abacked Qingdao Xihaian FC68c22.06$15 inWon+$7.06366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44eb…48c6backed Qingdao Xihaian FC68c20.32$14 inWon+$6.55060%30 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8095…d7abbacked Qingdao Xihaian FC71c14.99$11 inWon+$4.351172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.