TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Chengdu Rongcheng FC O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,529
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,499

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,529 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e3e…f882backed Over0c9,585$48 inLost-$47.6174739.4%294 W · 453 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under65c442.59$288 inWon+$154.672,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7087…8c57backed Over26c384.62$100 inLost-$1002020%4 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-23.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Over60c157.61$95 inLost-$94.57862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+150.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under40c155.06$62 inWon+$93.041,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under42c69.14$29 inWon+$40.11,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under50c60$30 inWon+$3089245%401 W · 491 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ce…b3dcbacked Over50c60$30 inLost-$302969%20 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66bf…07e8backed Over41c58.54$24 inLost-$248645.3%39 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over59c50.85$30 inLost-$3021367.6%144 W · 69 L0.0wins0.00per pick68cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x976e…8453backed Over61c40.98$25 inLost-$2513666.2%90 W · 46 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.