Asian League · resolved market
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x688d7a01c241eba9829f74edd7553ca557cfb2238bb5277fc55d57c9a63b0f5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,345
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,430
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,345 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 7,062$4,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,490.41 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 31c | 3,415$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.1 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9c…df69backed Over | 32c | 3,001$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 51cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed Over | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 4c | 1,820$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.36 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…89d3backed Under | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 69c | 861.76$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.3 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 36c | 721.99$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.59 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed Under | 70c | 698.28$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.22 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 14c | 505.84$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.9 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 30c | 503.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.9 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked Under | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 40c | 479.97$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.59 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 61c | 449.96$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.48 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Under | 61c | 399.99$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 53c | 387.14$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.49 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 31c | 299.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddeb…83f3backed Over | 39c | 274.9$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.21 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 49c | 272.37$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.23 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Over | 30c | 207.4$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.35 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 61c | 164.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 29c | 139.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.13 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 29c | 121$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 61c | 112.89$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.61 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d0…2fefbacked Under | 70c | 101.42$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 150 | 35.3%53 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 39c | 92.31$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Over | 39c | 89.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 118 | 12.7%15 W · 103 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 70c | 86.07$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 82 | 65.9%54 W · 28 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 61c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 71c | 69.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab4…077fbacked Under | 71c | 67.61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…1cf3backed Under | 62c | 51.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…bc0dbacked Over | 39c | 46.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Under | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e97…8908backed Under | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x352b…abd8backed Under | 62c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…131dbacked Under | 62c | 30.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under | 68c | 26.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Under | 72c | 24.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 46c | 24.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 50c | 21.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Under | 64c | 17.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 62c | 16.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Chengdu Rongcheng FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Chengdu Rongcheng FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Chengdu Rongcheng FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Chengdu Rongcheng FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Qingdao Xihaian FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Qingdao Xihaian FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)Qingdao Xihaian FC won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5)Qingdao Xihaian FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-1.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-2.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.