Middle East · resolved market
Houthis agree to end attacks on shipping before June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba51f573ffcb3916890a6c9c0fe60a067805126ee16057a4f41e2af3ab7ec5d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $717,908
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $738,235
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $717,908 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 216 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 40c | 94,168$37,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,271.33 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71d7…6565backed Yes | 29c | 54,981$15,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,036.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7e…70ddbacked No | 71c | 54,957$39,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,019.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed No | 28c | 38,545$10,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,689.72 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked No | 15c | 26,274$3,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,935.56 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c3…74aebacked No | 66c | 24,101$16,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 70c | 21,870$15,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,625.25 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 35c | 17,781$6,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,216.71 | 264 | 23.9%63 W · 201 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…f6c2backed No | 28c | 15,508$4,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,354.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8e…709cbacked No | 23c | 14,739$3,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,392.76 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked No | 51c | 10,700$5,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,476.1 | 156 | 26.9%42 W · 114 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed No | 12c | 9,722$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.13 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…b243backed No | 14c | 9,701$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.49 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +9.5wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 27c | 9,036$2,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,566.01 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 75c | 8,626$6,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,461.27 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked No | 30c | 8,588$2,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,542.82 | 266 | 19.2%51 W · 215 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed No | 35c | 8,500$3,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,005 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked No | 69c | 8,472$5,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,804.33 | 204 | 38.7%79 W · 125 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b2…e853backed No | 59c | 8,402$4,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,951.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed No | 6c | 8,072$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.14 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe97c…2a99backed No | 28c | 8,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked No | 1c | 7,956$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.59 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked No | 11c | 6,666$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.59 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Yes | 79c | 6,566$5,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.28 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd602…0105backed Yes | 69c | 6,483$4,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.41 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked No | 9c | 6,477$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.09 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…0a0fbacked Yes | 23c | 5,668$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,377.49 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbb…89abbacked No | 11c | 5,184$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.34 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 75c | 5,014$3,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,748.78 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked No | 1c | 4,139$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.37 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked No | 30c | 4,048$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.21 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked No | 28c | 3,910$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.25 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Yes | 72c | 3,872$2,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.27 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad9…91bdbacked No | 4c | 3,558$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d1…46cfbacked No | 73c | 3,500$2,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,555 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d9…e4eebacked No | 23c | 3,388$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.38 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 68c | 3,350$2,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,272.38 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | +21.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 1c | 3,214$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 71c | 3,052$2,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.88 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 20c | 2,887$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,304.37 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed Yes | 68c | 2,700$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.91 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 21c | 2,654$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.58 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5464…be5ebacked No | 74c | 2,628$1,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944.97 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 39c | 2,620$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.26 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed Yes | 33c | 2,352$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.99 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 17c | 2,325$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.21 | 175 | 30.9%54 W · 121 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 35c | 2,286$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.99 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 22c | 2,283$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.08 | 284 | 27.8%79 W · 205 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 68c | 2,255$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530.78 | 287 | 50.2%144 W · 143 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed No | 16c | 2,214$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.86 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a4…621abacked No | 72c | 2,100$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.85 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed No | 31c | 2,060$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.98 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 61c | 2,042$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.72 | 199 | 30.7%61 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked Yes | 73c | 2,033$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.89 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 68c | 2,000$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed No | 44c | 2,000$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x037d…887ebacked No | 35c | 2,000$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…19dabacked No | 66c | 1,937$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.37 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 24c | 1,640$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.11 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | +10.2wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…83efbacked No | 1c | 1,400$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 54 | 22.2%12 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 30c | 1,358$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.71 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…2a77backed Yes | 44c | 1,317$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.39 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed No | 7c | 1,257$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.29 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…e86bbacked No | 7c | 1,211$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1557…1f15backed No | 19c | 1,211$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 45c | 1,199$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked No | 31c | 1,195$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.79 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed No | 35c | 1,100$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 208 | 23.1%48 W · 160 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe037…5241backed No | 5c | 1,076$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed No | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc158…f3cabacked No | 74c | 971.31$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.64 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 28c | 943.88$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.32 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…bb63backed No | 17c | 921.37$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.72 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x59cf…4275backed Yes | 38c | 906.99$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.26 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 41cpaid | +126%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…87b8backed No | 6c | 895$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.91 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 29c | 888.38$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.22 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed No | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b69…0cdebacked No | 47c | 852.32$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.16 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b29…d732backed No | 69c | 824.64$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.3wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Yes | 57c | 780.77$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.65 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52a3…e236backed No | 3c | 765.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked No | 72c | 745.75$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.9 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -52%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked Yes | 41c | 727.27$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.39 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5377…e6dabacked Yes | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.29 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 36c | 700$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked No | 4c | 684.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f1…05e2backed No | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 34c | 651.11$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 272 | 33.8%92 W · 180 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c1…3d36backed No | 78c | 650$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.5 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31a…e99dbacked No | 73c | 626.32$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…3e88backed No | 65c | 625.17$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.36 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f8…2903backed No | 32c | 600$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.6 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 17c | 588$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +7.6wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | +151%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c50…3e65backed No | 69c | 548.75$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf91f…6ca2backed No | 65c | 538.57$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +75%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked No | 66c | 523.9$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.17 | 162 | 46.3%75 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…b23ebacked No | 4c | 511.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 312 | 41.7%130 W · 182 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed No | 41c | 500$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45a1…d31fbacked No | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.