TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Red Wings vs. Hurricanes

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hurricanesof Red Wings, Hurricanes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,369
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$79,148

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,369 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb786…b18dbacked Red Wings30c5,473$1,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,641.892848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ce8…3bd3backed Hurricanes70c5,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5001190.9%10 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.26per pick65cpaid+42.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Red Wings30c4,154$1,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,257.681,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x356f…e6cfbacked Hurricanes71c3,305$2,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.45580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Red Wings1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Hurricanes78c2,755$2,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.9532331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Red Wings29c2,751$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.7422842.5%97 W · 131 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57d7…0a81backed Hurricanes71c2,215$1,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.92450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Hurricanes69c1,888$1,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.3927958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa10d…acc6backed Hurricanes70c1,763$1,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.95757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1187…cb53backed Red Wings29c1,715$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.2911533%38 W · 77 L-9.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-21.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Red Wings29c1,390$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.9611145.9%51 W · 60 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40b3…6159backed Hurricanes64c1,335$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.358870.5%62 W · 26 L+9.2wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+16.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Red Wings29c1,267$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.3137738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c93…d494backed Red Wings30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e37…160fbacked Hurricanes70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3510…2492backed Red Wings38c979.07$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.274330.2%13 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Red Wings41c824.5$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.373,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Hurricanes70c817.42$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.4497651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Hurricanes68c799.99$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25466951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Red Wings16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021620.4%44 W · 172 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Red Wings31c504.99$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.6572444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Hurricanes71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1456654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Hurricanes67c500$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16585148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Red Wings46c476.08$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.11,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Hurricanes69c445.93$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.1315663.5%99 W · 57 L+17.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Red Wings32c444.46$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.239251.1%47 W · 45 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed Hurricanes71c326.63$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.725255.8%29 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Hurricanes69c323$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.1324457.4%140 W · 104 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Red Wings28c322.91$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.8558467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Red Wings4c313$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.681895.3%10 W · 179 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Hurricanes69c299.98$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.9937254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Hurricanes71c279.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.8213457.5%77 W · 57 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fea…4976backed Red Wings12c222$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4720%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d8…9a77backed Hurricanes65c205.1$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.157861.5%48 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Red Wings29c182.36$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.149351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7f0…97bbbacked Red Wings13c177.36$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cef…5a54backed Red Wings30c170.17$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0540%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4e4b…f125backed Hurricanes71c169.01$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.01475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+33.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Red Wings31c165$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1530549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Red Wings28c156.36$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.074831.3%15 W · 33 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-44.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0041…7dccbacked Red Wings31c149.98$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.491936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Red Wings10c149.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.191334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Hurricanes69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.931,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49f7…046bbacked Red Wings31c144.44$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.788932.6%29 W · 60 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe1c3…b2a1backed Red Wings30c143.33$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a52…502cbacked Hurricanes70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.86771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x792b…0775backed Hurricanes71c142$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1820861.5%128 W · 80 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5457…476ebacked Red Wings30c141.47$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.44540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x614b…5845backed Hurricanes71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.855957.6%34 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7592…b5cbbacked Hurricanes71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.853360.6%20 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Hurricanes71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8512859.4%76 W · 52 L+0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Hurricanes72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8915456.5%87 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ccf…34e6backed Hurricanes71c137$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.733571.4%25 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9a2…7f83backed Red Wings30c133.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407749.4%38 W · 39 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e63…7e29backed Red Wings32c129.43$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1965345%294 W · 359 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bb0…fe0ebacked Red Wings32c126.01$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+32%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf9f…624cbacked Red Wings17c122.01$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9434032.4%110 W · 230 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Red Wings30c117.77$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.184051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Red Wings32c106.18$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.981,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Red Wings32c103.76$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.829748.8%145 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Hurricanes71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2935154.1%190 W · 161 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Red Wings28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2827643.5%120 W · 156 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0678…9fd0backed Red Wings30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Hurricanes68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3250857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd914…a7e3backed Red Wings30c97.8$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.341560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5494…50f5backed Hurricanes71c94.77$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.481668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcd6…e908backed Red Wings30c86.1$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.83540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-40.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b07…055fbacked Red Wings33c84.85$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x292d…8cd5backed Hurricanes68c84.84$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee06…80bdbacked Hurricanes71c82.92$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.051540%6 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2170…8e8abacked Hurricanes69c81.64$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.311361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x261c…6b74backed Red Wings31c80.48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.952050%10 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c71…0cf9backed Hurricanes69c80$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.81250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Red Wings31c80$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.89352.7%49 W · 44 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Red Wings31c80$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5616437.2%61 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Red Wings32c78.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2576450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Red Wings31c77.97$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7928440.1%114 W · 170 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f43…efd4backed Hurricanes71c75.8$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.982100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ec1…3099backed Hurricanes71c75.62$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.934100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Hurricanes66c75.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2941954.4%228 W · 191 L-1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25a5…ceccbacked Hurricanes69c75$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa622…775bbacked Red Wings32c75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-34.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c9b…5e9cbacked Hurricanes71c73.51$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.32580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+37%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f52…6ff2backed Red Wings30c73$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.621827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4321…d35bbacked Hurricanes71c72.59$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.053100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+78.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1003…8965backed Hurricanes69c72.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.111361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Hurricanes71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.421,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25c9…2c0ebacked Hurricanes71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.421662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaca5…4d3bbacked Hurricanes71c67.48$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.57540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-38.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2978…a569backed Red Wings30c65.87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.76425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-66.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec4e…2d95backed Hurricanes71c63.62$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e5f…1dc6backed Red Wings32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202532%8 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e45…23d8backed Red Wings32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4931…7c3fbacked Red Wings32c62.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.95352.8%28 W · 25 L+6.2wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+6.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Red Wings31c61.29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1916447.6%78 W · 86 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Red Wings31c58.57$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1619150.8%97 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b96…27cbbacked Red Wings32c56.25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bc9…2c38backed Red Wings30c56$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8137.7%1 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.24per pick32cpaid-90.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd10a…91e9backed Hurricanes70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1526059.6%155 W · 105 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.