TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-03-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,841
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$91,627

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,841 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfb79…c2c6backed No37c7,351$2,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,686.6414659.6%87 W · 59 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes63c5,556$3,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,035.0611548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed No47c4,698$2,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,208.677458.1%43 W · 31 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No34c4,500$1,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.3579650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No38c4,010$1,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,533.8568026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes64c3,913$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,413.339235.9%33 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…8c56backed Yes64c3,500$2,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2651435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-36.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes63c3,300$2,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,21421153.1%112 W · 99 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e0…68a8backed Yes50c2,894$1,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.314339.5%17 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No42c2,553$1,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.2540640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked No36c2,214$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.459754.6%53 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Yes48c2,127$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,095.838045%36 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed No50c2,057$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026.0114732.7%48 W · 99 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f63…67c4backed Yes62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-40.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No35c2,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.9841437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8bf…c049backed Yes64c1,564$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.294346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No38c1,518$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.3832037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eae…f263backed Yes67c1,493$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.549037.8%34 W · 56 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Yes63c1,429$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.576737.3%25 W · 42 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-30.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8583…a5dbbacked No23c1,328$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.932615.4%4 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-52.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe82a…dcc6backed Yes60c1,212$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.87633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ba4…dd66backed Yes63c1,025$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.292100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick69cpaid+46.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe558…ccb0backed No37c1,025$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.2920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes50c999.85$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.8529044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf112…21ebbacked Yes64c893.75$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.755046%23 W · 27 L-7.2wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-28.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No36c801.62$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.924566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes66c758.11$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.1120447.1%96 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No34c716.08$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.983459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No37c713.23$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.8913547.4%64 W · 71 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec05…5fb3backed No38c700$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c93…d494backed Yes62c699.99$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+52.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes64c625$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22514156.7%80 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes64c607.58$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.317447.7%83 W · 91 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No37c606$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.221,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes66c598.58$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.5812053.3%64 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2774…07dfbacked Yes68c583.15$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.032352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes57c525.79$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.7932737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0cd…c8c7backed Yes63c510.25$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.791050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18034643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No51c485.68$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.728355.5%157 W · 126 L+17.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1fef…3589backed Yes63c477.43$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.65650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked No37c400$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1484963.3%31 W · 18 L+6.6wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+26%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes38c399$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.7436954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No48c396.48$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.1737652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No33c354.99$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.3840135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Yes63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4611855.1%65 W · 53 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.513336.1%48 W · 85 L-12.7wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x49dc…9830backed Yes64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.55349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No36c308.59$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.3181559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6d9…ed60backed Yes63c299.93$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.978747.1%41 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Yes67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.513842.1%16 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4a09…4a9ebacked Yes51c273.92$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.222733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe220…f862backed Yes65c250$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.54252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No29c243.1$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.166031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf442…ccf8backed No38c237.54$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.865345.3%24 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3d7…6a4ebacked No35c227.18$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.36540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-44.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fbe…d6d5backed Yes42c224.36$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.36944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x596a…1219backed Yes65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Yes64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes26c190.9$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.2728070%196 W · 84 L+49.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+54.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xcaf7…6165backed Yes52c183$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.591338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7329653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7342755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7313449.3%66 W · 68 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Yes63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7311052.7%58 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8bce…c476backed Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.257346.6%34 W · 39 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No34c150$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5114147.5%67 W · 74 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb6c…e44fbacked No37c134.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.957159.2%42 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa50f…f999backed Yes63c134.09$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.067041.4%29 W · 41 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe6e6…79b5backed Yes63c133.44$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.374372.1%31 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ea4…4bf3backed Yes64c131.25$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.251656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x789e…c510backed Yes65c130.36$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.362152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89b3…6ed8backed Yes62c125$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.56177%47 W · 14 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfb7…5f51backed Yes65c120$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ca9…cdd3backed No35c120$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes64c117.19$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.197061.4%43 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No37c107$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2659958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d3…a64bbacked Yes67c104.55$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.51643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd47…8277backed Yes53c103.81$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.899949.5%49 W · 50 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb123…0a15backed Yes65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+45.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78c2…8316backed No52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504854.2%26 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcca3…a61ebacked No35c93$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x634b…0816backed Yes65c93$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd121…54c7backed Yes48c90$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.26746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafa1…250abacked Yes67c87.84$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.28560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed No37c84$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.089756.7%55 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b48…51d0backed No38c84$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.923951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58e2…dae0backed Yes67c83.49$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.55560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fc0…5cdbbacked Yes63c83.21$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.152751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9528…8c40backed Yes67c81.39$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.863100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+83%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf061…2572backed Yes62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.652445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc43…938ebacked No35c80$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x229c…6438backed Yes65c80$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x008b…439bbacked Yes63c80$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes63c79.98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5919735.5%70 W · 127 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Yes63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3714057.9%81 W · 59 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Yes65c78.63$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x034b…8bc0backed No37c78.5$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.052937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd7cd…9973backed Yes64c78.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.177536%27 W · 48 L-9.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-31.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked No37c77.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4931359.4%186 W · 127 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.