Premier League · resolved market
Will Crystal Palace vs. Ipswich end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcf0f39d1325a54590c76f2a04c92f2a249599d4af0335f752d8d87e12bf0fca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,725
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,725 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5eae…f263backed Yes | 22c | 1,232$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 77c | 741.09$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.54 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed No | 77c | 527.99$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.44 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…e97abacked Yes | 24c | 519.21$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 8c | 495.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c81…8b4dbacked No | 79c | 472$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…8e5bbacked Yes | 24c | 429.7$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 23c | 429.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…adb7backed Yes | 45c | 420$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 78c | 384$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.48 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 23c | 350$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf342…5f9dbacked No | 55c | 302.38$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Yes | 28c | 258.54$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.26 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4973…3ebfbacked No | 79c | 253.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x375a…2814backed No | 79c | 251.62$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8583…a5dbbacked Yes | 31c | 221.27$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.23 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c6…7961backed Yes | 23c | 200.34$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Yes | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc83…9a49backed Yes | 21c | 167$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc228…26acbacked No | 79c | 167$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x130a…f07bbacked Yes | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…e01fbacked No | 79c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes | 23c | 131.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 150 | 25.3%38 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c6…83d2backed No | 79c | 125$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc879…fbbebacked Yes | 21c | 125$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd3…4b6fbacked No | 79c | 120$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x116f…a889backed Yes | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6863…a8c7backed Yes | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1476…5457backed No | 79c | 120$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Yes | 22c | 111.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…26b1backed No | 35c | 106.38$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.86 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…a1c2backed Yes | 21c | 106$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcd…6ae2backed No | 79c | 106$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d3…a64bbacked Yes | 21c | 104.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…12a3backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 27cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77b1…451bbacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca3…e913backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e8…8c0bbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba4…8964backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa954…bfdabacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b4…5006backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dca…858ebacked No | 79c | 95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26bb…8a5ebacked Yes | 21c | 95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc15e…6e25backed No | 79c | 90$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc97d…88a6backed Yes | 21c | 90$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc997…a138backed Yes | 21c | 78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5c…c82cbacked No | 79c | 78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…4dc8backed Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6173…4258backed Yes | 21c | 64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked No | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 61 | 77%47 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…375abacked Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e5…dbc9backed No | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…7f85backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 35c | 29.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 52c | 26.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed Yes | 67c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 73cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 78c | 20.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b9…93f9backed No | 78c | 15.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc24…e86fbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crystal Palace vs. Ipswich end in a draw?this page
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-03-08?Yes won
- Will Ipswich win on 2025-03-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.