NHL · resolved market
Avalanche vs. Flames
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bc1aea2f199f146ab776c76c407d4abf56f115b3577eb43fa717aa561805ea3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Avalanche, Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,179
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,179 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d6a…292fbacked Avalanche | 64c | 11,018$7,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,966.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef1…9748backed Flames | 36c | 6,883$2,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,477.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Flames | 35c | 5,632$1,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,971.15 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa144…8181backed Flames | 36c | 4,135$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Flames | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Avalanche | 65c | 2,830$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.5 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Flames | 2c | 1,872$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Flames | 5c | 1,739$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Flames | 5c | 1,643$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.12 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be6…0530backed Avalanche | 64c | 1,572$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.74 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09d5…3926backed Flames | 36c | 1,570$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Flames | 35c | 1,540$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.99 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9598…1fd2backed Flames | 34c | 1,502$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.67 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Avalanche | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd348…0c07backed Flames | 37c | 1,336$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.18 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Flames | 8c | 1,159$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.92 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8d…d880backed Avalanche | 65c | 1,154$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.85 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49bd…372abacked Flames | 36c | 1,100$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a1…d746backed Avalanche | 64c | 1,100$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f9…ec50backed Avalanche | 62c | 969$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.22 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce29…b71bbacked Avalanche | 64c | 930.58$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.58 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…019abacked Avalanche | 64c | 750$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5291…6d56backed Flames | 36c | 750$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Flames | 33c | 742.77$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.11 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Avalanche | 64c | 700$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Flames | 34c | 689.55$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.45 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Avalanche | 64c | 569.02$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.85 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Avalanche | 65c | 562.94$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.94 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44bd…6e0cbacked Flames | 38c | 530$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.72 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Flames | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.12 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Avalanche | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Flames | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…336dbacked Flames | 38c | 466$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.08 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa33a…454abacked Avalanche | 62c | 443$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.34 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Avalanche | 66c | 440.37$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.73 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Flames | 17c | 430.85$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.22 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x004b…004abacked Avalanche | 64c | 400$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…3477backed Avalanche | 63c | 391$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.84 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flames | 19c | 367.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf4…665ebacked Avalanche | 61c | 359$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe32…5e5dbacked Avalanche | 63c | 330$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.08 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Avalanche | 66c | 325.71$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.74 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Avalanche | 66c | 318.38$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.25 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Avalanche | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…141cbacked Avalanche | 63c | 287$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.02 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe862…7d6bbacked Avalanche | 65c | 269.23$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.23 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6800…5cf5backed Avalanche | 62c | 266$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.08 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Avalanche | 63c | 261.14$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.62 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81c…c43abacked Flames | 38c | 256$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.28 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e1…3348backed Flames | 38c | 256$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.28 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29ed…962dbacked Avalanche | 65c | 247.51$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0532…0b95backed Avalanche | 65c | 240$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -5.5wins | -0.24per pick | 50cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x159a…e9c2backed Flames | 39c | 228$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.92 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7b…a0a0backed Avalanche | 61c | 228$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.92 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b85…f51cbacked Avalanche | 64c | 226$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.36 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0995…fa39backed Flames | 36c | 226$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.36 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Avalanche | 63c | 218.66$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.43 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce86…cbcbbacked Flames | 36c | 215$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.06 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x487f…30babacked Avalanche | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -5.8wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcf64…7e54backed Flames | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +55%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…03b7backed Flames | 38c | 199$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.62 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Flames | 7c | 198.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d2…fcf1backed Flames | 37c | 188$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.92 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9361…05abbacked Flames | 36c | 186.72$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.22 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdacc…8476backed Flames | 37c | 183$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.23 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf7…7a24backed Avalanche | 61c | 181$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Flames | 19c | 179.92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…1a9dbacked Flames | 38c | 179$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.02 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab5…63a1backed Flames | 15c | 162.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Avalanche | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Avalanche | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Avalanche | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Avalanche | 66c | 151.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.47 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Avalanche | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 208 | 61.5%128 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb19b…478dbacked Flames | 36c | 144.44$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.4wins | -0.31per pick | 53cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbd…50a3backed Flames | 36c | 140$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79e7…365bbacked Avalanche | 64c | 140$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Avalanche | 72c | 139.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.42 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…a47abacked Flames | 36c | 134.94$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f5…67e0backed Flames | 36c | 129.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f0…97bbbacked Flames | 22c | 124.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Avalanche | 65c | 123.08$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Avalanche | 65c | 106$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.24 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d46…cc6dbacked Flames | 36c | 105.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x399e…119abacked Avalanche | 65c | 101.75$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.61 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x818d…24ddbacked Avalanche | 65c | 101.6$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Flames | 12c | 100.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Avalanche | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Avalanche | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9d…b3fbbacked Avalanche | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…29ccbacked Flames | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Avalanche | 64c | 99.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Flames | 35c | 95.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0755…b1fdbacked Flames | 36c | 91.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Flames | 37c | 88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x518c…4ad0backed Avalanche | 65c | 84.62$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd914…a7e3backed Avalanche | 65c | 84.22$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd50a…3018backed Avalanche | 65c | 83.86$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0678…9fd0backed Flames | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Flames | 35c | 83.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 284 | 40.1%114 W · 170 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.