NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Celtics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45b2191ea18f8ca84b3c6dc871a8378e6b5a6845aacf36fcda4989253f201ab4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Nuggets, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $768,084
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $757,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $768,084 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 373 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Celtics | 80c | 115,769$92,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,590.08 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a5…f9babacked Nuggets | 38c | 68,537$26,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,286.87 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8367…2a2abacked Nuggets | 24c | 31,544$7,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,603.57 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Celtics | 65c | 31,220$20,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,985.5 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…68dcbacked Nuggets | 32c | 30,900$9,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,779 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34e…895ebacked Nuggets | 8c | 24,092$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.68 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Nuggets | 12c | 23,780$2,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,969.49 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nuggets | 40c | 20,401$8,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,174.61 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nuggets | 9c | 18,463$1,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.94 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Celtics | 58c | 16,009$9,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,663.49 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x242e…ee63backed Nuggets | 34c | 14,502$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Nuggets | 28c | 12,909$3,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,628.1 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5afa…dba8backed Celtics | 61c | 12,005$7,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,681.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c7…41babacked Nuggets | 39c | 12,005$4,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,681.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nuggets | 41c | 10,000$4,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,094.11 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Nuggets | 10c | 6,825$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.61 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…acb6backed Celtics | 76c | 6,200$4,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Nuggets | 40c | 6,150$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,439.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Nuggets | 7c | 6,087$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.66 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Celtics | 62c | 5,935$3,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,260.14 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Celtics | 63c | 5,543$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,043.15 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Celtics | 59c | 5,337$3,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,191.95 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Celtics | 60c | 4,920$2,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,973.19 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4329…ba41backed Nuggets | 39c | 4,431$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,727.96 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.31per pick | 40cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x938c…d5e5backed Nuggets | 34c | 4,412$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.08 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Nuggets | 6c | 4,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Nuggets | 42c | 3,990$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.5 | 139 | 29.5%41 W · 98 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked Nuggets | 42c | 3,938$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,653.81 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Nuggets | 34c | 3,903$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.17 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Celtics | 58c | 3,900$2,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Nuggets | 42c | 3,882$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630.44 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Celtics | 58c | 3,730$2,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.65 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Nuggets | 5c | 3,710$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.49 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Nuggets | 8c | 3,310$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Nuggets | 2c | 3,300$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Celtics | 78c | 3,052$2,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.44 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa51…43ecbacked Nuggets | 44c | 3,015$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb2…3f22backed Celtics | 56c | 3,015$1,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Celtics | 60c | 3,005$1,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.99 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Celtics | 58c | 2,951$1,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.42 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Nuggets | 10c | 2,932$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.87 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40d…8ee3backed Nuggets | 42c | 2,840$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb8…1b30backed Celtics | 58c | 2,840$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Celtics | 57c | 2,771$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.18 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…3bd3backed Nuggets | 3c | 2,764$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Celtics | 57c | 2,748$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.02 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Nuggets | 22c | 2,726$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Celtics | 61c | 2,680$1,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.19 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa38…ffb3backed Nuggets | 17c | 2,593$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 109 | 25.7%28 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Celtics | 60c | 2,548$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.12 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…7bd8backed Nuggets | 39c | 2,508$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Celtics | 58c | 2,447$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.49 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0712…f71bbacked Nuggets | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Nuggets | 8c | 2,361$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.53 | 131 | 33.6%44 W · 87 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Nuggets | 2c | 2,300$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.87 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Nuggets | 13c | 2,254$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.18 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Nuggets | 20c | 2,250$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.82 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Nuggets | 38c | 2,234$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.92 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…414fbacked Nuggets | 14c | 2,209$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.16 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Nuggets | 11c | 2,193$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.24 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec6…5f05backed Celtics | 60c | 2,173$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Celtics | 61c | 2,054$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.19 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Celtics | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.98 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Nuggets | 21c | 1,881$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Celtics | 72c | 1,846$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.88 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…219abacked Nuggets | 39c | 1,818$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.89 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…76fabacked Celtics | 58c | 1,733$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.59 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Celtics | 57c | 1,731$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.66 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Celtics | 59c | 1,708$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.4 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…102ebacked Celtics | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Nuggets | 32c | 1,500$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3890…39e3backed Nuggets | 42c | 1,498$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…8756backed Nuggets | 14c | 1,429$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Nuggets | 22c | 1,417$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.46 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Nuggets | 22c | 1,376$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Nuggets | 17c | 1,355$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.33 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Nuggets | 37c | 1,300$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x442b…5410backed Nuggets | 36c | 1,255$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.7 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…c765backed Celtics | 67c | 1,224$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.71 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…3bd9backed Nuggets | 12c | 1,200$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +8.8wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4a…61aebacked Celtics | 59c | 1,150$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Celtics | 58c | 1,127$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.56 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…7478backed Celtics | 59c | 1,100$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2a…b640backed Celtics | 60c | 1,099$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f5…5c10backed Nuggets | 43c | 1,093$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…3d1ebacked Nuggets | 43c | 1,072$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…482cbacked Nuggets | 10c | 1,052$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.16 | 229 | 50.7%116 W · 113 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Celtics | 69c | 1,051$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.77 | 196 | 50%98 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Nuggets | 5c | 1,035$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Nuggets | 39c | 1,031$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.93 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Nuggets | 7c | 1,006$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.92 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x549b…bd13backed Celtics | 59c | 1,002$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Nuggets | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Nuggets | 34c | 999.98$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.99 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Celtics | 61c | 983.04$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.06 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Nuggets | 43c | 978.26$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Celtics | 59c | 935$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.35 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcabe…72e3backed Nuggets | 7c | 900.48$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Nuggets | 34c | 900$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…b899backed Celtics | 66c | 889.85$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.55 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.