Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-03-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32683a80b5523f3d504407f7c5f680e206c7c468f16027aa11f91ff8f2990e85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,672
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed No | 72c | 5,556$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 71cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes | 31c | 4,839$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,338.71 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…b8ecbacked Yes | 20c | 3,781$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,025.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 53c | 2,973$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.33 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 39c | 2,579$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.55 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -61%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Yes | 80c | 1,856$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Yes | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.99 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 79c | 1,398$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.71 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 59c | 909.63$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.22 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a5…50b7backed No | 72c | 836.8$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…434cbacked No | 4c | 769.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed No | 69c | 700$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef2…8a53backed Yes | 51c | 630.12$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked No | 71c | 600$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 27c | 511.63$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.62 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 69c | 507.25$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked No | 70c | 500.05$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.19 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Yes | 32c | 500$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Yes | 61c | 499$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.31 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 32c | 451.31$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.9 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea4…4bf3backed Yes | 57c | 317.38$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf7…6165backed Yes | 20c | 300$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 38c | 276.68$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.54 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789e…c510backed Yes | 37c | 259.21$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…8c56backed Yes | 35c | 229.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.59 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 7c | 206.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Yes | 28c | 204.01$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.89 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +6.1wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…7df8backed No | 68c | 178.13$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 35c | 176$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.57 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc103…81e8backed Yes | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 147 | 33.3%49 W · 98 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cd…9973backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 69c | 143.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 31c | 112.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x807b…89b7backed Yes | 29c | 111.2$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 41c | 105.9$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.07 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…acb6backed No | 69c | 92.31$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.69 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 32c | 82.24$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.66 | 111 | 30.6%34 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f6…30f0backed Yes | 51c | 82.14$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Yes | 79c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…bcf4backed Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f1…a901backed Yes | 31c | 74.52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf061…2572backed No | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffa…23b5backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fec…70f9backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6173…4258backed Yes | 29c | 66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.86 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7413…42cbbacked Yes | 33c | 61.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +205.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5de…8ed4backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +86%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…e3b6backed Yes | 27c | 60.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +267.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1268…94e0backed Yes | 33c | 55.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.07 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes | 36c | 55.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c1…bb8dbacked Yes | 31c | 51.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 64c | 49.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Yes | 32c | 46.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cb…c3c8backed Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ed…7aeabacked Yes | 79c | 45.27$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6571…1ccfbacked Yes | 35c | 44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecc…cf91backed Yes | 32c | 42.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc4…3479backed No | 66c | 42.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…64a0backed Yes | 34c | 40.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a40…7cd9backed Yes | 31c | 40.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…9055backed No | 68c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…5e4cbacked Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c0…6775backed No | 65c | 37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed No | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2333…c1f2backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…0cbbbacked No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…37eabacked No | 69c | 26.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 67c | 24.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f36…c495backed No | 65c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c8c…b87cbacked No | 69c | 21.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x939b…5d8fbacked Yes | 76c | 15.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…7f85backed No | 70c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-03-06?this page
- Will Ajax vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?No won
- Will Ajax win on 2025-03-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.