Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Ajax win on 2025-03-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadb6fe188574166bd5540cb0229d89671eea0456ad5f6229f4bfdcd84cdcb50d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,623
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 43c | 13,917$5,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,932.2 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 57c | 8,491$4,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,679 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Yes | 71c | 5,634$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 71cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked No | 58c | 5,116$2,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,148.58 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 54c | 4,855$2,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,210.16 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 21c | 4,557$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.47 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 44c | 3,626$1,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,608.72 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 42c | 3,042$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.48 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Yes | 44c | 2,716$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.67 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f80…cf55backed Yes | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8d…216cbacked Yes | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed Yes | 50c | 2,148$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.21 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3436…17c5backed No | 56c | 1,595$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c65…a0b7backed Yes | 41c | 1,522$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd131…ba36backed Yes | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…26b1backed No | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 44c | 1,434$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Yes | 52c | 1,397$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 44c | 1,261$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bf…c049backed Yes | 45c | 1,112$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe256…12f8backed Yes | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 57c | 629.07$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.5 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 49c | 537.49$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.37 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Yes | 43c | 529.17$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes | 39c | 518.18$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 50c | 511.1$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.55 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e1…921ebacked Yes | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked No | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78a5…50b7backed Yes | 43c | 463.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 69c | 436.91$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked No | 56c | 401.08$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.47 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +6.1wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa933…6077backed Yes | 70c | 400$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 58c | 399.99$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.99 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d9…2cefbacked Yes | 44c | 385.32$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 58c | 382.2$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.34 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed No | 70c | 350$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Yes | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…e97cbacked Yes | 44c | 298.77$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.53 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked No | 38c | 268.32$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.36 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…e782backed Yes | 36c | 266$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea4…4bf3backed Yes | 45c | 262.62$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Yes | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…9841backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 26c | 242.09$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Yes | 31c | 220$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.21 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 58c | 217.43$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.79 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf94…0c96backed Yes | 37c | 216.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49dc…9830backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…85f4backed Yes | 30c | 189$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…8eb5backed No | 62c | 180.94$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Yes | 67c | 175$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.25 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789e…c510backed Yes | 50c | 168$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb60…09bdbacked No | 62c | 162.68$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eae…086dbacked Yes | 40c | 157.68$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfb…bea8backed No | 59c | 148.13$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…5f70backed Yes | 49c | 134.05$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…dbc5backed Yes | 44c | 124.7$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd46…4b28backed Yes | 44c | 119.77$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71b7…958dbacked Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33fe…0cccbacked Yes | 44c | 112.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf01…a1a2backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb175…b65cbacked Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed No | 58c | 99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f1…a901backed No | 58c | 98.28$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…30e8backed Yes | 36c | 97.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa66e…3430backed Yes | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +84%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed No | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0a90backed Yes | 44c | 84.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed No | 71c | 76.52$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6210…f242backed Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f0…9e66backed Yes | 44c | 71.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ee…d511backed Yes | 42c | 71.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 67c | 62.69$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffa…23b5backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked No | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Yes | 44c | 59.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd32d…3c32backed Yes | 42c | 59.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 57c | 58$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 58c | 57.41$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3da…5e4bbacked Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…c137backed Yes | 42c | 54.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…37eabacked Yes | 48c | 54.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f0…97bbbacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1268…94e0backed Yes | 34c | 50.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b7…af8bbacked Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb1…4253backed No | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 38c | 47.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x494f…ca12backed Yes | 42c | 47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…06c9backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3d…235fbacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f6…30f0backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa05…ce6fbacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Yes | 30c | 39.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +44%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ajax win on 2025-03-06?this page
- Will Ajax vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?No won
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-03-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.