Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FCSB win on 2025-03-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7ca0cb3749aece65134124b84cebd4d5b799cd8e5574bf5eb7e03f2630eb12e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,739
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,739 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked No | 79c | 8,494$6,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,784.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 76cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 23c | 5,000$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.07 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Yes | 21c | 3,836$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.55 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +6.1wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 77c | 3,385$2,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.65 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Yes | 21c | 2,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 21c | 1,319$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.91 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Yes | 25c | 500$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked No | 77c | 400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb474…a4bcbacked No | 78c | 366.65$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 75c | 267.22$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.61 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38cc…18fcbacked Yes | 24c | 251.07$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 22c | 238.29$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 22c | 201.64$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.18 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 77c | 189.88$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.45 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 80c | 152$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea4…4bf3backed Yes | 23c | 137.79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked No | 78c | 93$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 76cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5de…8ed4backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +86%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked No | 77c | 74$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked No | 78c | 74$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +31%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf55e…27a7backed Yes | 23c | 68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6173…4258backed Yes | 21c | 66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf061…2572backed No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e7…41e2backed Yes | 23c | 52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 22c | 48.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 76c | 44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed No | 77c | 41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 78c | 40.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed No | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…f9ddbacked No | 77c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 76c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe345…e5c8backed No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…0cbbbacked No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…6fecbacked No | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0589…ce5fbacked No | 77c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…8d26backed No | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9182…db30backed No | 77c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a35…4df1backed No | 77c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19c3…ea4ebacked No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +143.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FCSB win on 2025-03-06?this page
- Will FCSB vs. Lyon end in a draw?No won
- Will Lyon win on 2025-03-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.