Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Lyon win on 2025-03-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x347d25b266daf839e42621c637922aaa513d137de2c337f965c9bb01390f060d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,436
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5314…910cbacked No | 49c | 14,633$7,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,118.83 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +6.1wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa074…49c3backed Yes | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 48c | 7,829$3,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,791.12 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Yes | 52c | 5,749$2,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,759.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 48c | 4,537$2,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,176.8 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…410ebacked Yes | 52c | 2,502$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 32c | 1,651$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.09 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 51c | 1,542$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.92 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes | 50c | 1,129$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.49 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +5.7wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +67%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Yes | 52c | 1,058$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.69 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 30c | 1,018$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.67 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Yes | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…219abacked Yes | 51c | 975.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bf…c049backed Yes | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 147 | 33.3%49 W · 98 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97fa…ac91backed Yes | 51c | 693.76$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Yes | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 49c | 560$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.3 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…342bbacked Yes | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.36 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 49c | 499.99$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Yes | 52c | 494.23$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.23 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 33c | 454.55$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.55 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…40b7backed Yes | 34c | 450.5$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed No | 50c | 449.83$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 49c | 419.61$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.47 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 51c | 390.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.38 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 46c | 327.73$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.75 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 49c | 320$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.8 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Yes | 73c | 311$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.44 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3550…68b6backed Yes | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 50c | 299.08$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.08 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36a8…8718backed Yes | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49dc…9830backed Yes | 51c | 215.69$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a1…c3cebacked Yes | 52c | 201.92$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea4…4bf3backed Yes | 51c | 201.37$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fa4bbacked Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66e…3430backed Yes | 51c | 196.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.47 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +84%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 50c | 182.1$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.66 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cd…9973backed Yes | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc683…404cbacked Yes | 51c | 141$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ce…670abacked Yes | 54c | 136.08$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb60…09bdbacked No | 49c | 130.58$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 53c | 126.49$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.64 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 49c | 124$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.45 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06b0…afd6backed Yes | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8de…e7a0backed No | 50c | 111.2$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 22c | 111$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.58 | 121 | 66.9%81 W · 40 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb4…e810backed Yes | 53c | 107.55$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked No | 49c | 102$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70d3…a474backed Yes | 53c | 100.23$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb175…b65cbacked Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed No | 51c | 98.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…1efabacked Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf065…20abbacked Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b7…958dbacked Yes | 53c | 94.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 49c | 81.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Yes | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…766abacked Yes | 51c | 77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49e6…4f02backed No | 49c | 77$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51a0…4d82backed Yes | 51c | 75.78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6173…4258backed Yes | 49c | 66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eec…08fcbacked No | 49c | 61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3027…7c3ebacked No | 49c | 55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b7…af8bbacked Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb1…4253backed No | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…2acabacked Yes | 52c | 46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Yes | 52c | 46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4e…e9fabacked No | 49c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27e…55f3backed No | 49c | 43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a6…5707backed Yes | 51c | 43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaed…f6e9backed Yes | 51c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cb…c3c8backed Yes | 51c | 41.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf09…f95dbacked Yes | 51c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Yes | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed No | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x494f…ca12backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe22…66b3backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…f387backed No | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf66…9ac6backed Yes | 53c | 39.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65c4…3055backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecc…cf91backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…c7c8backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 44cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…06c9backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9c…896bbacked Yes | 51c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Yes | 45c | 37.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ee…d511backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…226ebacked Yes | 52c | 36.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…37eabacked Yes | 51c | 35.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c50…f169backed No | 49c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf717…b7d9backed No | 49c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lyon win on 2025-03-06?this page
- Will FCSB vs. Lyon end in a draw?No won
- Will FCSB win on 2025-03-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.