TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Fulham win on 2025-03-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$138,708
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$141,876

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,708 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbde3…4a49backed No50c71,144$35,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,505.286445.3%29 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Yes50c34,365$17,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,028.789754.6%53 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes50c24,778$12,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,427.2979639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Yes50c12,550$6,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,27514659.6%87 W · 59 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes50c8,227$4,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,143.119235.9%33 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7239…6591backed No49c7,897$3,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,867.641457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes50c5,850$2,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,92579650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes50c3,283$1,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,628.4840640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d17…ac75backed No14c3,214$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.193910.3%4 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+44.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No52c2,554$1,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,332.4141437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00013547.4%64 W · 71 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes50c1,599$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.7127024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No40c1,595$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.8438645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes48c1,378$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.4232158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x48ee…83dabacked No49c1,061$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked No50c1,046$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.034553.3%24 W · 21 L+7.1wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+55.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No49c1,000$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.1534643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b05…7535backed Yes62c948.35$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.9475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51be…2b83backed Yes51c787.72$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x242c…c63fbacked No50c779.06$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.4720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Yes33c753.86$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.9814732.7%48 W · 99 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked No52c606.35$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.39242.4%39 W · 53 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Yes50c599.99$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.6421445.8%98 W · 116 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No49c570.98$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.451,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e91…ea34backed No68c530$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.84062.5%25 W · 15 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick73cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed No49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.888453.6%45 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes51c473.49$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.0137054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1d6…423fbacked Yes56c430.36$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.362060%12 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20083459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3632737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7cd…9973backed Yes53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.367536%27 W · 48 L-9.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-31.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7865…45e8backed No52c324.88$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.94742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb7b…1476backed No63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003435.3%12 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-31.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x89b3…6ed8backed Yes78c317.2$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.466177%47 W · 14 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15017837.6%67 W · 111 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Yes51c298.04$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.047844.9%35 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed Yes50c240.4$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.959756.7%55 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe060…fda8backed No49c227.78$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.618155.6%45 W · 36 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf683…c2bcbacked Yes60c227.18$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.18944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No52c225$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11717153.8%92 W · 79 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x43ff…30e8backed No49c211.43$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1031540%6 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ffd…e62cbacked Yes49c201.84$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.94580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+58.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed No52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10414945%67 W · 82 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9c8…1efabacked No52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-70.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a0e…4dc6backed No53c190$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.76167.2%41 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x36ce…8520backed No49c180.92$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.65666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aaf…114dbacked No50c177.72$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.86850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No35c174.13$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3937652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x494f…ca12backed Yes45c170.07$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.54450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No51c155$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.2240135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d51…f56cbacked No52c153.83$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.99955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757061.4%43 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked No48c125$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.54839.6%19 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2881…2ad5backed Yes51c123.53$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.535100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x71b7…958dbacked Yes49c122.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.453754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes27c117.88$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.0528070%196 W · 84 L+49.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+54.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No51c110$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.266031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd69a…81eabacked Yes51c101.02$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.53935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b69…e32abacked Yes49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519150.5%46 W · 45 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked No45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5081559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03ce…2ef0backed Yes52c97.02$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.02475%3 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick33cpaid+159.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7d2…f555backed No50c85$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.518260.4%110 W · 72 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7f4…0336backed No48c75$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363050%15 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe019…018bbacked Yes49c71.43$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.438339.8%33 W · 50 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab71…6f34backed No56c70.88$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-48.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes48c70.85$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8419735.5%70 W · 127 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d7e…d8a2backed Yes49c64.49$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.89560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bff…331cbacked No61c59.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.81346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick65cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No52c58$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0652060.4%314 W · 206 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed No50c56.3$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1518752.9%99 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes43c55$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3525339.1%99 W · 154 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Yes46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3525637.9%97 W · 159 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6173…4258backed No49c49.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.55026%13 W · 37 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-29%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed No48c49.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2416060%96 W · 64 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbd7f…186abacked No52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.33per pick56cpaid-70.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf458…9ac4backed No52c48.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4373…95ebbacked Yes48c47.86$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.87977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+56.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc13f…c93bbacked Yes53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.173135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3f8…7d75backed Yes27c47.11$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked Yes70c43.26$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.917651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd8…5ddcbacked Yes53c41.51$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.51933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-35.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5f8…1affbacked Yes49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.821154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Yes50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204858.3%28 W · 20 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+38.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa468…d83bbacked Yes50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-36%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf061…2572backed No51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae81…99eabacked No50c36.4$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked No50c33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.531359.4%186 W · 127 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x347a…83e3backed Yes50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157347.9%35 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf784…ab48backed Yes42c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf065…20abbacked Yes34c30$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.81163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.22per pick41cpaid+31.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1559958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes46c29$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.661241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick29cpaid-23.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa06d…d337backed No52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-38.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ea4…4bf3backed Yes53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.31656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd32d…3c32backed Yes50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103959%23 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77d6…4fd2backed Yes50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.