Premier League · resolved market
Will Fulham vs. Tottenham end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc44bda625b498bd8f45e7fc16c80441710bdd1bee0bd60019716329d563905a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,905
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,694
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,905 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fbc…52dabacked No | 74c | 9,996$7,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,598.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…0357backed No | 74c | 9,992$7,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,597.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b47…2f60backed Yes | 26c | 9,991$2,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,597.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3c…8e95backed Yes | 26c | 9,989$2,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,597.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e4…b351backed No | 74c | 9,972$7,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,592.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1188…f4adbacked Yes | 26c | 9,958$2,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,588.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Yes | 25c | 4,237$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.81 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 75c | 3,263$2,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.75 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 25c | 2,012$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.79 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 65c | 1,465$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.5 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…7b30backed Yes | 15c | 800$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6b…12e7backed No | 76c | 657.52$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.52 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…219abacked Yes | 56c | 515.88$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked No | 75c | 512.07$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.02 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x471f…f60abacked No | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0678…9fd0backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 75c | 344.92$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 25c | 314.94$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.16 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 67c | 314.14$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.06 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Yes | 26c | 244.5$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.57 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 75c | 225$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87cf…25a4backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 126 | 23%29 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d9…ed60backed No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked No | 75c | 191.04$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.12 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked No | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…b5cbbacked No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0de4…2d29backed Yes | 16c | 110.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…adb7backed Yes | 45c | 110$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…30e8backed Yes | 18c | 109.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x965e…0062backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 26c | 100.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06be…8a46backed No | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -42%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 75c | 83.33$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…46aebacked Yes | 35c | 77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced9…137bbacked No | 65c | 77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf51c…f64fbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056a…611fbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9f…af72backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2684…d3d6backed Yes | 26c | 69.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad6…a93cbacked Yes | 50c | 61.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…4130backed No | 75c | 50.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1241…c496backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…3cdbbacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6173…4258backed Yes | 25c | 49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked No | 74c | 47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 61 | 77%47 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 75c | 43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9949…3f3bbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7f…186abacked No | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 56cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 74c | 30.77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d42…f046backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf088…4942backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked No | 75c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 313 | 59.4%186 W · 127 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1508…c887backed Yes | 54c | 21.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9448…be98backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fulham vs. Tottenham end in a draw?this page
- Will Fulham win on 2025-03-16?Yes won
- Will Tottenham win on 2025-03-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.