Champions League · resolved market
Will Palmeiras beat Al Ahly?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x486daf1abbbb7af060fa0f2bab3276bc80056cea14531bf25b5b2c051e1661a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,644
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb1d9…4ce3backed No | 40c | 20,052$8,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,041.83 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yes | 67c | 10,078$6,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,325.36 | 187 | 58.8%110 W · 77 L | +18.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 37c | 8,691$3,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,177.26 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…f137backed Yes | 67c | 7,082$4,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,301.68 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 35c | 5,450$1,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.42 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…f687backed No | 37c | 4,574$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Yes | 60c | 2,962$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.85 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 53c | 2,911$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.36 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 37c | 2,759$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 68c | 2,491$1,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.14 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed No | 44c | 2,438$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.09 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 58c | 1,821$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.77 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x279a…c95fbacked Yes | 64c | 1,814$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.05 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 65c | 1,719$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.92 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcb…0426backed Yes | 66c | 1,669$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.43 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 64c | 1,640$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.33 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…1eecbacked No | 27c | 1,508$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.61 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 64c | 1,482$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.84 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 63c | 1,280$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.22 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 60c | 1,048$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.37 | 204 | 62.3%127 W · 77 L | +19.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed No | 26c | 1,027$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.16 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb49…43febacked Yes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 65c | 1,000$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.8 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ed…eb62backed No | 36c | 995$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…38bfbacked No | 36c | 920$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 61c | 832$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.8 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…dc48backed Yes | 45c | 817.45$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.6 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Yes | 59c | 741$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.22 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 73c | 705.08$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.43 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb05b…d77ebacked Yes | 64c | 705$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 60c | 700$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…2427backed Yes | 44c | 700$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…6fe4backed Yes | 80c | 636.92$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.54 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6558…cf5ebacked Yes | 64c | 600$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 35c | 430.64$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.64 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d1…8c4dbacked No | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed No | 47c | 352.27$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.43 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc47c…a661backed Yes | 60c | 351.07$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.43 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked No | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 29.8%34 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68bb…812cbacked Yes | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4541…b128backed Yes | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 66c | 293.77$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.3 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x442a…7c94backed No | 42c | 265.05$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.37 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4f…0c68backed Yes | 64c | 240$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 35c | 199.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…bbc9backed Yes | 64c | 195$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked No | 35c | 181.91$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.67 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…3671backed Yes | 64c | 160$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 63c | 159.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.08 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -14.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99a6…aac8backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ef…b4d9backed Yes | 60c | 149.78$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.91 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 39c | 111$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06c6…4162backed Yes | 63c | 110.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.64 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed No | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb858…d565backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…4abbbacked Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed No | 70c | 99.82$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…1555backed No | 36c | 86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 66c | 79.7$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +5.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2515…a008backed Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…fedbbacked No | 36c | 75.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Yes | 63c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc281…7ebbbacked Yes | 54c | 69.3$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.18 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd112…fc6bbacked No | 36c | 65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…1b66backed Yes | 42c | 64.77$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.46 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf061…2572backed No | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 61c | 57.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 38c | 55.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Yes | 65c | 53.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 65c | 52.15$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…9f56backed Yes | 58c | 52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 71c | 50.62$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 155 | 38.1%59 W · 96 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…bd30backed Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +8.2wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x713b…eda8backed Yes | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…7be4backed Yes | 63c | 46.92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x653c…a02abacked Yes | 60c | 46.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yes | 74c | 46.54$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab2…e698backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x650b…4f90backed Yes | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f9…3553backed Yes | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd18…a458backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 35c | 32.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…d3ddbacked No | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4116…330abacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3500…915bbacked Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Palmeiras beat Al Ahly?this page
- Will Al Ahly beat Palmeiras?No won
- Will Palmeiras vs. Al Ahly end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.