Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United win on 2025-04-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd4e27a1e6f13aafa2066a11d1a855e9743791a45164fb31c30fa94454f19536
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,054
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,768
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,054 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed No | 72c | 18,302$13,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,124.45 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yes | 28c | 9,688$2,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,712.72 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 28c | 4,050$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 28c | 3,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 23c | 2,502$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.31 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 73c | 1,763$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.34 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…4673backed Yes | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 28c | 1,405$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.49 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed No | 73c | 1,400$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.99 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8815…e147backed Yes | 26c | 1,144$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.8 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Yes | 29c | 1,033$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 23c | 924.29$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.38 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 27c | 844.72$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.16 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 18c | 839.51$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.35 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked No | 73c | 700$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.48 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 73c | 589.8$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 24c | 510.64$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.55 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6b…b2d5backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…b4dcbacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed No | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46b2…14f3backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3180…2634backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 27c | 309$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.51 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4aa…d7c8backed Yes | 28c | 302.61$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.73 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 32cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 27c | 281.68$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.05 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 28c | 267.86$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed Yes | 28c | 267.86$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed No | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 61 | 77%47 W · 14 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Yes | 17c | 212.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Yes | 27c | 211.9$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.21 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 73cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc14…e9b2backed No | 73c | 150.49$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf061…2572backed No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 75c | 106.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x737c…d76dbacked Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd22c…c656backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…c25ebacked No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…c3f5backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 28c | 96.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe019…018bbacked Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe36e…ad3abacked Yes | 30c | 83.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8c…757abacked No | 79c | 83$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78db…8e25backed Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf70…cfb7backed Yes | 29c | 79.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes | 28c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc391…8f41backed Yes | 27c | 73.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad93…c030backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187f…c378backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…f8b9backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2df…45f9backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 72c | 66.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cc…062bbacked Yes | 29c | 65.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0066…49e4backed Yes | 28c | 65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf52e…73cfbacked Yes | 20c | 64.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…af26backed No | 73c | 57.53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed No | 79c | 56.4$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…12d8backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…c7c8backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bae…4081backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…7300backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182a…c9bebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -54%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked No | 73c | 38.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Yes | 29c | 37.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed No | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…8301backed No | 73c | 27.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9e…15e3backed No | 73c | 26.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 72cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…8d2dbacked No | 75c | 25.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9d…2d95backed No | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf81c…b112backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-04-06?this page
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-04-06?No won
- Will Manchester United vs. Manchester City end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.