Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City win on 2025-04-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35226e1f0587e90e30cbb39c26a55389fdf7d8b4b5750ea49ecd4c6c608a87a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $240,099
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $253,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $240,099 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb00f…db97backed Yes | 47c | 125,145$58,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,193.39 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed No | 53c | 38,667$20,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,031.68 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +7.7wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 69c | 25,756$17,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,996.34 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Yes | 47c | 23,135$10,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,857.84 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 52c | 22,011$11,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,621.76 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 51c | 20,163$10,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,942.19 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 56c | 19,633$11,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,598.78 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked No | 52c | 18,062$9,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,663.99 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 54c | 13,247$7,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,125.04 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 54c | 12,000$6,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,569.99 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 53c | 11,488$6,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,392.59 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 49c | 9,500$4,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,646.31 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…6591backed Yes | 47c | 8,250$3,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,877.54 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 55c | 6,995$3,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,147.57 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…128ebacked Yes | 52c | 5,788$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 52c | 4,652$2,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240.24 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…f687backed Yes | 46c | 4,206$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 46c | 3,899$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 58c | 3,100$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 57c | 3,015$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.91 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 58c | 2,988$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.91 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed No | 57c | 2,644$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.72 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68f7…5e86backed Yes | 47c | 2,538$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 46c | 1,735$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.28 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc36…1fa0backed Yes | 45c | 1,700$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Yes | 46c | 1,561$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 46c | 1,522$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -15.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…58f1backed Yes | 46c | 1,387$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…d81bbacked Yes | 47c | 1,289$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Yes | 45c | 1,254$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.34 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed No | 53c | 1,200$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 47c | 1,125$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.85 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 52c | 1,095$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.41 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked No | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 172 | 34.3%59 W · 113 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 46c | 956.52$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 46c | 933.34$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd69a…81eabacked Yes | 46c | 909.24$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.25 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked Yes | 46c | 832.64$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.01 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 49c | 804.68$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.61 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e97…190bbacked No | 55c | 700$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…510dbacked Yes | 46c | 700$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa083…0795backed Yes | 45c | 700$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…af7fbacked No | 79c | 643.29$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 49c | 610.92$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.35 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Yes | 46c | 571.83$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.04 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Yes | 47c | 499.99$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffc…19adbacked Yes | 48c | 489.58$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 68cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…9657backed No | 52c | 481$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.88 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 54c | 446.17$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.24 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf01…a1a2backed Yes | 47c | 412.77$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked No | 51c | 410.5$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.05 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1036…7defbacked Yes | 46c | 405.54$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe060…fda8backed Yes | 46c | 387.66$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.32 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 56c | 370.91$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.46 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed No | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 46c | 306.17$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.84 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ef…2c77backed Yes | 54c | 303.83$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.07 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked No | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387f…8cf2backed Yes | 54c | 279.17$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187f…c378backed No | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Yes | 47c | 254.81$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.76 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…b4dcbacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 52c | 225.83$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.76 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x965e…0062backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49dc…9830backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -9.0wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.7 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f4…0336backed Yes | 46c | 195.22$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.8 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 46c | 194.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.69 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf07b…60a3backed Yes | 46c | 173.96$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.02 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Yes | 47c | 172.07$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.87 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8773…302fbacked Yes | 41c | 170$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed No | 61c | 170$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 52c | 151.77$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.85 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2e…2358backed Yes | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked No | 56c | 149.21$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.65 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd40d…3f66backed Yes | 47c | 142$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 52c | 126.01$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…bc89backed Yes | 39c | 122.49$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.77 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4976…d0efbacked Yes | 46c | 110.02$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46e0…8b20backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe019…018bbacked Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9998…46bcbacked Yes | 47c | 101.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd249…6a90backed Yes | 46c | 95.59$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.97 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92be…d717backed Yes | 43c | 93.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Yes | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…b078backed Yes | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-04-06?this page
- Will Manchester United vs. Manchester City end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-04-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.