MLB · resolved market
White Sox vs. Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x887e2368c2d4ed6dac0c996ae304c94403b19b1bea4805e86eeff90ddea76813
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- White Soxof White Sox, Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $490,569
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $479,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $490,569 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaefe…1e4abacked Nationals | 56c | 198,293$111,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111,060.94 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked White Sox | 45c | 186,877$83,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103,304.61 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Nationals | 38c | 22,771$8,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,674.34 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked White Sox | 45c | 17,321$7,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,526.32 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked White Sox | 45c | 14,048$6,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,726.15 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed Nationals | 55c | 12,969$7,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,133 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked White Sox | 24c | 11,141$2,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,455.83 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked White Sox | 44c | 10,005$4,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,602.73 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Nationals | 44c | 9,260$4,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,033.25 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…374abacked Nationals | 56c | 8,379$4,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,707.05 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed White Sox | 44c | 8,231$3,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,609.22 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed White Sox | 58c | 8,046$4,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,374.13 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Nationals | 53c | 7,000$3,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,710 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nationals | 36c | 5,221$1,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,877.8 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Nationals | 30c | 4,632$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.95 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Nationals | 55c | 4,545$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Nationals | 1c | 3,896$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed White Sox | 45c | 3,814$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,097.94 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed White Sox | 45c | 3,594$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,976.6 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals | 10c | 3,529$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.19 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed White Sox | 44c | 3,382$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,893.92 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Nationals | 55c | 3,348$1,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,841.4 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked White Sox | 43c | 3,300$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,881.21 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed White Sox | 44c | 2,700$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb3…285dbacked Nationals | 55c | 2,400$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +65%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Nationals | 63c | 2,380$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.04 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked White Sox | 44c | 2,114$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.47 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Nationals | 54c | 2,079$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.58 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked White Sox | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed White Sox | 43c | 2,000$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.99 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…4350backed Nationals | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed White Sox | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.98 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed White Sox | 16c | 1,875$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…9f1dbacked Nationals | 55c | 1,700$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed White Sox | 54c | 1,653$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.11 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…fc1cbacked Nationals | 55c | 1,550$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fec…62f0backed Nationals | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9614…5247backed Nationals | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked White Sox | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.01 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Nationals | 1c | 1,413$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed White Sox | 43c | 1,400$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked White Sox | 43c | 1,400$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32bd…c195backed White Sox | 45c | 1,400$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf189…4c6bbacked White Sox | 45c | 1,300$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nationals | 47c | 1,222$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.35 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Nationals | 23c | 1,217$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b02…e4e8backed White Sox | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nationals | 26c | 1,153$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.34 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06b9…9150backed White Sox | 45c | 1,150$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked White Sox | 44c | 1,113$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.28 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked White Sox | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc70e…cc0dbacked White Sox | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked White Sox | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked White Sox | 44c | 999.97$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.98 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de9…ee25backed White Sox | 11c | 945.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.45 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Nationals | 26c | 906.75$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.09 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7946…1c01backed White Sox | 45c | 900$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed White Sox | 44c | 850$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked Nationals | 2c | 825.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 102 | 2.9%3 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked White Sox | 51c | 794.5$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.37 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…c62dbacked White Sox | 76c | 705.08$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.78 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked White Sox | 43c | 700$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Nationals | 3c | 665.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Nationals | 7c | 650.49$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed White Sox | 45c | 647$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.85 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e62…ec52backed White Sox | 45c | 599.98$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed White Sox | 44c | 592$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.52 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed White Sox | 65c | 557.8$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.23 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Nationals | 55c | 550.15$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.58 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed White Sox | 44c | 548$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.88 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Nationals | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked White Sox | 43c | 538.01$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.67 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked White Sox | 44c | 533.81$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.93 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked White Sox | 43c | 499.99$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.99 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked White Sox | 46c | 485.59$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.22 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588c…6929backed White Sox | 45c | 450$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nationals | 54c | 439.81$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.5 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed White Sox | 76c | 429.42$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.48 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed White Sox | 61c | 406.85$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.87 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked White Sox | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…252ebacked White Sox | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…9667backed White Sox | 45c | 399.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Nationals | 55c | 399.98$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e40…e093backed White Sox | 76c | 392.21$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.21 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72b7…e360backed Nationals | 58c | 367.58$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.72 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Nationals | 19c | 361.39$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.87 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…d87abacked White Sox | 46c | 350$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Nationals | 12c | 347.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.43 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked White Sox | 44c | 306$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3e…c572backed White Sox | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8dacbacked White Sox | 45c | 299.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Nationals | 16c | 286.19$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed White Sox | 70c | 284.59$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.05 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Nationals | 15c | 259.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Nationals | 55c | 253.33$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.33 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Nationals | 53c | 237.36$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.92 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 47cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x670f…3f29backed White Sox | 45c | 224.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.77 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked White Sox | 45c | 220.05$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.03 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Nationals | 10c | 213$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Nationals | 11c | 209.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- White Sox vs. Nationalsthis page
- Chicago White Sox vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.