TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Wolves win on 2025-03-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,717
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$37,280

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,717 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5314…910cbacked Yes38c6,176$2,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,346.949754.6%53 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No62c4,500$2,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,71079650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed No70c3,762$2,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140.297458.1%43 W · 31 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf892…7f58backed Yes35c3,092$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073.761540%6 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes10c1,957$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20027024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad25…7678backed Yes34c1,664$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.854124.4%10 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-44.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No74c1,520$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.5538645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed No67c1,500$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.556737.3%25 W · 42 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-30.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No66c1,300$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44232158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e8e…bc92backed Yes34c1,300$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+68.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xca7a…8b82backed No66c1,300$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4423100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ed…c7debacked Yes12c1,063$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-45.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No65c1,007$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.137652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35044939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb893…3399backed Yes37c830$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fbe…d6d5backed Yes32c739.88$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.76944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8583…a5dbbacked Yes19c587.4$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1122615.4%4 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-52.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed No67c508.69$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.745740.4%23 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes34c447.06$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15224630.5%75 W · 171 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce8…4a44backed No67c414.85$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.91163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+23.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No70c368.17$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.4556453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Yes38c333.76$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.540135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes18c328.17$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1766031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No63c303.51$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.281559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked No66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0311855.1%65 W · 53 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes29c252.63$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.445633.9%19 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes33c242.42$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8026054.2%141 W · 119 L+1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b6…ddd5backed Yes39c215.36$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-36.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No72c211.11$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5969772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2ad1…a60ebacked Yes28c202.86$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-70.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5de…8ed4backed Yes30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cef…33debacked Yes22c160.36$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2529653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked No66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5211052.7%58 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc196…05e8backed No70c142.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Yes29c137.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402619.2%5 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick15cpaid-18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9a2…7f83backed No69c127.73$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.446250%31 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes34c120$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.819735.5%70 W · 127 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d57…bd62backed Yes34c117.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+70.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0c2…5510backed No64c114.2$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.114100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed No66c110.99$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.746854.4%37 W · 31 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-20.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed No67c105.11$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1114057.9%81 W · 59 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked No67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3311761.5%72 W · 45 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x732b…85f4backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3e3…d5cebacked Yes37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3730%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25a2…e09cbacked No63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes32c93.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013149.6%65 W · 66 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No64c93.28$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2842755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed No65c92.8$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.816955.6%94 W · 75 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb30c…7ab2backed No64c90.63$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.632360.9%14 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b7…9cabbacked No64c84.73$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed No62c80$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.47335.6%26 W · 47 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes24c80$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.218232.4%59 W · 123 L-15.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9460…607ebacked Yes35c75.03$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked No64c68$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4812357.7%71 W · 52 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf1a…1109backed No66c66.73$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.692100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+82.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa123…a6e7backed Yes37c64$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.68333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-40.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0790…beccbacked No63c64$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.682100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick70cpaid+45.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6173…4258backed Yes34c64$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.765026%13 W · 37 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-29%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209938.4%38 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc039…e2e0backed Yes34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc095…5719backed Yes35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a68…36bfbacked No66c55.11$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.74250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71b7…958dbacked Yes37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57b9…7726backed Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8759958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67b8…2449backed Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206556.9%37 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…c3f5backed Yes37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.57350.7%37 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdb1…4253backed No62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa54…ccb4backed Yes35c47.31$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cf6…a715backed No59c39.76$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.32100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick62cpaid+62.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2c6…6cdebacked Yes41c39.76$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc485…e765backed Yes40c37.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.02366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1413…4bddbacked No64c37.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.520059.5%119 W · 81 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd32d…3c32backed Yes36c36.4$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133959%23 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac1…723ebacked Yes36c36.17$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x94fa…d674backed No64c36.17$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.02250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8179…3e2fbacked Yes40c33.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No67c31.34$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3420958.9%123 W · 86 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf112…7df8backed No64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.253100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+72.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1925…4e40backed No63c29.4$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.88475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+30.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fde…0f98backed Yes37c29.4$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x971d…37aabacked No58c27.63$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+35.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb536…4640backed No63c25.51$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.44650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42ae…5e26backed No58c25.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.68475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+26.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd94e…d44bbacked No62c24.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+78.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf12c…2ba1backed No60c24.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.793100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked No64c23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2831359.4%186 W · 127 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x36fc…61c6backed No60c22.86$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc567…0968backed No63c21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x536d…c3aabacked No63c21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aac…f712backed No63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505d…8539backed No63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x666f…2011backed No63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x858f…9877backed No64c19.13$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5af…cc50backed No59c18.79$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.72100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+113%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe95c…dbf4backed No63c18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d61…c92abacked No63c18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.662100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+81.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf326…5365backed No63c17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.29250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-20.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff60…9925backed No63c17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.29250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-20.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.