Premier League · resolved market
Will Wolves vs. Everton end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81a60dfae5de6845499100131613ba31d3b06205204baa11c3d901428877ab56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,193
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,193 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed No | 55c | 3,835$2,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,097.07 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 43c | 2,603$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.59 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Yes | 37c | 2,370$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.81 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 67c | 1,533$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.16 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed Yes | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.57 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 53c | 1,389$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.63 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 31c | 876.69$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.7 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes | 33c | 757.58$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.58 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Yes | 62c | 667.82$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.66 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb826…8d67backed Yes | 30c | 574.19$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.19 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d17…ac75backed No | 17c | 533.03$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.72 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94eb…37e6backed No | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x471f…f60abacked No | 68c | 499.99$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.99 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 69c | 435.97$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.82 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…33debacked Yes | 72c | 408.57$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…c206backed Yes | 33c | 305.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.87 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked No | 69c | 300$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 156 | 36.5%57 W · 99 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8583…a5dbbacked No | 16c | 276.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Yes | 77c | 261.04$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.04 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked No | 50c | 244.34$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.17 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cd…c8c7backed Yes | 33c | 181.82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.82 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Yes | 33c | 181.15$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.37 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Yes | 33c | 156.02$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.53 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eec…3e48backed Yes | 32c | 155.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.06 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 150 | 25.3%38 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked No | 67c | 150$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 69c | 137.21$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.67 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -12.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Yes | 33c | 101.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.65 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb43c…d43bbacked Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…53c8backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0623…35dbbacked Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 31c | 97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.93 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 28c | 94.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b7…bde1backed Yes | 53c | 94.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.59 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b07…2d28backed Yes | 32c | 92.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78c2…8316backed Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 65c | 85.71$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.71 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f3…2dd5backed Yes | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 61 | 77%47 W · 14 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 30c | 42.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc24…e86fbacked No | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e87…14a0backed Yes | 33c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…9ca0backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed No | 68c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84d…9714backed No | 69c | 22.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wolves vs. Everton end in a draw?this page
- Will Everton win on 2025-03-08?No won
- Will Wolves win on 2025-03-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.