MLB · resolved market
Tigers vs. Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4abc6a4cbed24a246052da065a926b3e44216effe06ced9761943a9d63a136ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oriolesof Tigers, Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $438,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $436,022
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $438,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 242 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Tigers | 47c | 208,561$97,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97,012.79 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Orioles | 70c | 51,041$35,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,561.75 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Orioles | 52c | 40,000$20,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,211.42 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Orioles | 55c | 37,715$20,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,000.92 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Orioles | 55c | 30,272$16,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,711.38 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Orioles | 52c | 25,548$13,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,286.57 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Orioles | 52c | 20,448$10,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,815.06 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Tigers | 48c | 20,259$9,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,724.27 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Orioles | 52c | 17,864$9,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,574.71 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Tigers | 25c | 11,835$2,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,993.87 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Orioles | 53c | 10,159$5,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,774.52 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Orioles | 52c | 10,152$5,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,874.3 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Orioles | 54c | 9,340$5,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,314.07 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Orioles | 75c | 8,156$6,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060.99 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Orioles | 53c | 7,980$4,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750.44 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Tigers | 46c | 6,940$3,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,192.29 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…c481backed Tigers | 17c | 6,487$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.71 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 60cpaid | -38%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Orioles | 63c | 6,223$3,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,288.83 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Orioles | 55c | 6,185$3,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,771.44 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Tigers | 18c | 5,556$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tigers | 28c | 4,854$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.62 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Tigers | 27c | 4,152$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…3501backed Orioles | 56c | 3,999$2,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.46 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Orioles | 56c | 3,999$2,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.46 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Orioles | 53c | 3,405$1,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.29 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Orioles | 54c | 3,304$1,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.64 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Tigers | 17c | 3,144$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Tigers | 6c | 3,000$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Tigers | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.99 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Tigers | 32c | 2,505$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Orioles | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.98 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Orioles | 53c | 2,324$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.78 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Orioles | 56c | 2,197$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.63 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Orioles | 63c | 2,162$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.13 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Tigers | 46c | 2,153$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.26 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Tigers | 45c | 2,126$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.7 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Tigers | 1c | 2,050$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Tigers | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Tigers | 43c | 2,000$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.51 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Orioles | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Orioles | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Orioles | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Tigers | 46c | 2,000$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.04 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Tigers | 46c | 1,990$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.4 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Tigers | 1c | 1,966$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Tigers | 47c | 1,926$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.98 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Tigers | 2c | 1,800$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Tigers | 1c | 1,732$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Orioles | 55c | 1,728$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.5 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…92f7backed Tigers | 45c | 1,704$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Tigers | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Orioles | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…1b66backed Tigers | 36c | 1,488$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.7 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…1070backed Tigers | 26c | 1,474$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Orioles | 60c | 1,457$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.47 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Tigers | 45c | 1,451$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.73 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Tigers | 7c | 1,430$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.85 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f17…c521backed Orioles | 54c | 1,400$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Tigers | 33c | 1,387$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.09 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Tigers | 46c | 1,304$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Tigers | 48c | 1,200$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.93 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Tigers | 6c | 1,083$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Tigers | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.16 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Tigers | 38c | 1,030$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Orioles | 55c | 1,000$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.64 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47fc…b576backed Orioles | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5431…d00fbacked Tigers | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Tigers | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Tigers | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Tigers | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1a…2c0ebacked Tigers | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Orioles | 57c | 989.55$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.26 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Orioles | 55c | 953.05$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.87 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Tigers | 47c | 946.13$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…bc92backed Tigers | 46c | 900$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25ea…3f00backed Tigers | 25c | 900$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Tigers | 46c | 871.26$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.78 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Tigers | 47c | 841.95$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.72 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Tigers | 47c | 815.23$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.16 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Tigers | 16c | 799.88$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.98 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Orioles | 54c | 731$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.26 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27be…e3a9backed Tigers | 47c | 723.4$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb049…cc61backed Tigers | 28c | 714.06$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.1 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Tigers | 17c | 703.39$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.87 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Tigers | 16c | 700.08$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Tigers | 29c | 678.35$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…d29ebacked Tigers | 30c | 662.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Tigers | 20c | 608.39$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Orioles | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f18…77c9backed Tigers | 11c | 580.11$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Tigers | 9c | 556.48$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Tigers | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Tigers | 34c | 515$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.5 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Orioles | 55c | 510.02$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.51 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Tigers | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Orioles | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…bae5backed Tigers | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Tigers | 46c | 499$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.89 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Tigers | 23c | 475.96$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.47 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x666e…d5d7backed Tigers | 47c | 474.47$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.