NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7810824fa2abb5dd5f6e17bc994aa10b1cbe07379a47ccf10f3c475d9e14a34e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Lakers, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $505,972
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $559,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $505,972 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 836 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Lakers | 75c | 42,630$32,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,536.09 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Grizzlies | 35c | 35,164$12,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,422.03 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies | 21c | 21,713$4,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,665.2 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Grizzlies | 24c | 19,754$4,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,741.03 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Grizzlies | 39c | 18,015$7,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,025.24 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Grizzlies | 50c | 14,212$7,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,147.01 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Lakers | 61c | 12,237$7,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,772.43 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Lakers | 44c | 11,490$5,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,417.42 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…ae0fbacked Lakers | 46c | 11,154$5,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,023.28 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Grizzlies | 54c | 10,614$5,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,738.9 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Lakers | 79c | 10,549$8,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,233.85 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…78ddbacked Grizzlies | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Lakers | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Lakers | 46c | 8,998$4,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.38 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…5fd7backed Grizzlies | 57c | 8,789$4,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,978.79 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…6591backed Grizzlies | 53c | 8,159$4,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,301.77 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Lakers | 80c | 8,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 95 | 72.6%69 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Lakers | 45c | 7,168$3,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,942.16 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Lakers | 46c | 6,522$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,521.74 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0317…6289backed Grizzlies | 44c | 6,283$2,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,772.04 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Grizzlies | 30c | 5,732$1,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730.56 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Lakers | 73c | 5,560$4,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.78 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…ecf9backed Lakers | 62c | 5,354$3,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,036.93 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3d…2adbbacked Lakers | 74c | 5,247$3,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Lakers | 43c | 5,246$2,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,990.37 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Grizzlies | 39c | 5,000$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Grizzlies | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 4,829$2,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,536.46 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Lakers | 50c | 4,370$2,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,206.1 | 229 | 55.9%128 W · 101 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Lakers | 65c | 4,326$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.89 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Grizzlies | 37c | 4,319$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.58 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…3589backed Grizzlies | 31c | 4,179$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Lakers | 73c | 4,073$2,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.92 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…5ce5backed Lakers | 66c | 4,000$2,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.63 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Grizzlies | 52c | 3,414$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.58 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29e4…252fbacked Lakers | 46c | 3,256$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.02 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Lakers | 46c | 3,063$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.88 | 140 | 40%56 W · 84 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Grizzlies | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 2,971$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.83 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0dacbacked Lakers | 38c | 2,605$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.14 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Lakers | 51c | 2,600$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Grizzlies | 55c | 2,600$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Lakers | 47c | 2,444$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.13 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Grizzlies | 53c | 2,408$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.21 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Grizzlies | 30c | 2,080$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.81 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Grizzlies | 33c | 2,048$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.39 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Grizzlies | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Grizzlies | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Grizzlies | 55c | 2,000$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.02 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Grizzlies | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Grizzlies | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Grizzlies | 55c | 1,969$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.22 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…bc92backed Lakers | 46c | 1,955$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.88 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8729…9a8dbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 1,850$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.78 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae97…7eabbacked Grizzlies | 30c | 1,714$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.14 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Grizzlies | 41c | 1,651$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.02 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Grizzlies | 21c | 1,570$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.6 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5293…2f35backed Grizzlies | 54c | 1,482$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.13 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Grizzlies | 3c | 1,450$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Grizzlies | 53c | 1,445$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.13 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Grizzlies | 55c | 1,439$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.19 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed Lakers | 47c | 1,399$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.44 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Grizzlies | 54c | 1,371$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.19 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Grizzlies | 31c | 1,300$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403 | 217 | 23.5%51 W · 166 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…6c24backed Lakers | 60c | 1,300$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.89 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Lakers | 52c | 1,296$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.18 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Grizzlies | 56c | 1,251$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.06 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 1,225$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.55 | 173 | 35.8%62 W · 111 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Grizzlies | 41c | 1,220$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.33 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…725abacked Grizzlies | 2c | 1,175$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Grizzlies | 35c | 1,135$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3d…f7afbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 1,073$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Grizzlies | 57c | 1,062$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5679…d458backed Lakers | 52c | 1,029$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.15 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Lakers | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Lakers | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…1219backed Lakers | 67c | 999.99$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.34 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Grizzlies | 35c | 946.51$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Lakers | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.89 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 887.35$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.55 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Grizzlies | 54c | 869$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.26 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…a098backed Lakers | 51c | 820$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c93…8f21backed Grizzlies | 54c | 742.17$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.77 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed Grizzlies | 48c | 741.81$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.43 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Grizzlies | 25c | 726.37$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.28 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…51d3backed Grizzlies | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Grizzlies | 55c | 698.45$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.88 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Lakers | 46c | 660.46$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.14 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Grizzlies | 27c | 600$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Lakers | 44c | 597.93$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.71 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 579.49$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.72 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Lakers | 69c | 576.36$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.36 | 208 | 51.4%107 W · 101 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…9cb2backed Lakers | 80c | 536.07$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.21 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked Grizzlies | 22c | 521.78$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.27 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…3f0ebacked Lakers | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.83 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Lakers | 80c | 511.07$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.21 | 98 | 68.4%67 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Grizzlies | 28c | 505.73$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Grizzlies | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed Lakers | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb43c…d43bbacked Lakers | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.