MLB · resolved market
Padres vs. Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc23c40608541524285b318b1390d765fed9dc789e686605a7bdf6e5c75e634a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brewersof Padres, Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $188,871
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $193,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,871 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Brewers | 64c | 27,594$17,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,942.24 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Brewers | 54c | 20,230$10,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,313.52 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Padres | 38c | 13,395$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100.18 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Padres | 40c | 11,992$4,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,778.19 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Padres | 46c | 11,091$5,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,101.86 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Brewers | 56c | 10,149$5,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500.91 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Padres | 44c | 9,500$4,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,180 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Brewers | 44c | 5,569$2,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,110.66 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Padres | 37c | 5,426$1,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,992.01 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Padres | 65c | 5,239$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…d372backed Padres | 68c | 5,221$3,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,549.53 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -15.3wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Padres | 17c | 4,608$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.39 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa703…ad40backed Padres | 48c | 3,200$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…bc92backed Brewers | 55c | 2,946$1,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.04 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Brewers | 57c | 2,482$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.43 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Brewers | 63c | 2,474$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.53 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Brewers | 55c | 2,428$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.27 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Brewers | 53c | 2,339$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.79 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Padres | 48c | 2,311$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.14 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Brewers | 62c | 2,220$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.27 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Padres | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Padres | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e68…5472backed Padres | 40c | 2,000$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…c481backed Padres | 61c | 1,777$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.43 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 60cpaid | -38%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Padres | 26c | 1,737$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.9 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Padres | 46c | 1,500$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Padres | 39c | 1,423$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.96 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Padres | 55c | 1,363$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.27 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Brewers | 53c | 1,312$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.54 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Padres | 44c | 1,174$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.63 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Padres | 2c | 1,083$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Brewers | 56c | 1,059$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.87 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Brewers | 55c | 1,007$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.25 | 623 | 46.2%288 W · 335 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Padres | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Padres | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5431…d00fbacked Padres | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Padres | 46c | 942$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.32 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Brewers | 36c | 941.08$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.51 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Padres | 46c | 879$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.9 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Padres | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Padres | 43c | 811.78$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Brewers | 45c | 622.33$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.28 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Padres | 47c | 585.13$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.01 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Padres | 15c | 551.79$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.02 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Brewers | 66c | 550$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.3 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Padres | 42c | 525$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.28 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Padres | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Padres | 19c | 509.05$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.78 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…13eebacked Padres | 68c | 507.8$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Brewers | 61c | 484.14$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.97 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Padres | 46c | 478.42$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Padres | 46c | 474.07$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.95 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Padres | 39c | 414.1$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Padres | 48c | 388.96$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.7 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Brewers | 59c | 369.04$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.6 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Brewers | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Padres | 42c | 360.41$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.37 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Padres | 38c | 350$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Brewers | 77c | 342.86$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.86 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f18…77c9backed Padres | 32c | 322.53$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Padres | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Padres | 46c | 295.01$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.7 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Padres | 39c | 292.87$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.12 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Padres | 45c | 287$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.15 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…52bcbacked Padres | 41c | 283.41$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2339…e984backed Brewers | 58c | 251.8$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.76 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…f8e7backed Padres | 40c | 249.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Padres | 54c | 237.14$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.08 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…c533backed Padres | 50c | 228.89$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6159backed Brewers | 44c | 225$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27be…e3a9backed Padres | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Padres | 49c | 201.62$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.02 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Padres | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Brewers | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Padres | 51c | 200$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Padres | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Padres | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed Padres | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Padres | 43c | 199.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…1eedbacked Padres | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Brewers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Brewers | 53c | 189.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.62 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Brewers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Brewers | 62c | 185$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44dd…7153backed Padres | 46c | 180$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.2 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…af7abacked Padres | 63c | 159.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Brewers | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.89 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Padres | 44c | 156$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.12 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb130…6ee2backed Brewers | 59c | 153.33$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Brewers | 39c | 150.6$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.57 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Brewers | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed6…b287backed Padres | 61c | 144.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.59 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Brewers | 47c | 133.65$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.25 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb540…1319backed Padres | 49c | 132.94$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.14 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Padres | 45c | 122.3$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.96 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ef…14e1backed Padres | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Padres | 46c | 108.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.81 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc923…f0adbacked Brewers | 56c | 102.45$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Brewers | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Padres | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.