NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x822144399a34da2b6fc744211c0c4dea148b9f16201f244ae81ef5f1c74d520c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $457,465
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $476,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $457,465 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 589 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Heat | 57c | 38,768$21,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,935.67 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Heat | 26c | 34,174$8,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,987.12 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Timberwolves | 80c | 29,179$23,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,926.59 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Timberwolves | 61c | 17,693$10,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,880.93 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Heat | 40c | 17,009$6,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,803.56 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Timberwolves | 60c | 11,581$6,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,632.54 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Heat | 20c | 11,459$2,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,303.1 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Timberwolves | 60c | 9,900$5,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,960 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves | 79c | 4,830$3,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.36 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa112…d215backed Heat | 34c | 4,700$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…3bd3backed Timberwolves | 65c | 4,599$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.58 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Timberwolves | 77c | 4,370$3,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.91 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Heat | 36c | 4,050$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.99 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Heat | 38c | 3,773$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.84 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Heat | 31c | 3,500$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Heat | 21c | 3,332$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.29 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 3,256$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.1 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Timberwolves | 65c | 3,094$2,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.88 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0564…ce95backed Heat | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Timberwolves | 56c | 2,507$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.57 | 208 | 51.4%107 W · 101 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69d4…6775backed Timberwolves | 79c | 2,463$1,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.73 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Heat | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Timberwolves | 56c | 2,000$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.42 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Heat | 34c | 1,862$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.21 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf3…326bbacked Heat | 38c | 1,580$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e28…9bc8backed Timberwolves | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Timberwolves | 64c | 1,531$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.26 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…fa5dbacked Timberwolves | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Heat | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb703…6f88backed Heat | 35c | 1,499$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.65 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ec…df7bbacked Heat | 36c | 1,441$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2d…27e6backed Heat | 5c | 1,441$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.69 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Heat | 29c | 1,287$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Timberwolves | 74c | 1,282$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.12 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd596…17b9backed Heat | 42c | 1,174$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Heat | 35c | 1,154$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Heat | 39c | 1,145$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.9 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Timberwolves | 66c | 1,117$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.76 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…bc92backed Timberwolves | 65c | 1,077$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.93 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x665a…174ebacked Heat | 35c | 1,044$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Timberwolves | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Heat | 20c | 988.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Heat | 26c | 972.82$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.93 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Timberwolves | 64c | 949.89$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.16 | 229 | 55.9%128 W · 101 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Timberwolves | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Timberwolves | 57c | 811.71$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.78 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Heat | 26c | 806.91$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Heat | 1c | 700$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Timberwolves | 80c | 695.02$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.02 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Heat | 29c | 680.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.54 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…6462backed Timberwolves | 46c | 652.83$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.83 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Timberwolves | 61c | 650.92$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.92 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Heat | 36c | 650$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Timberwolves | 62c | 631.35$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.23 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Timberwolves | 57c | 629.28$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.59 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Timberwolves | 57c | 627.5$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.36 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Heat | 40c | 605.55$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.22 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Heat | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Heat | 37c | 600$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Timberwolves | 65c | 599$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.65 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Heat | 41c | 570$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.7 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Heat | 36c | 521.88$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.88 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Heat | 35c | 517.14$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 336 | 38.1%128 W · 208 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed Timberwolves | 66c | 505.94$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.02 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Heat | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Heat | 9c | 454.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2b…525abacked Heat | 32c | 450.04$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.77 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Heat | 48c | 425.5$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.73 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e6…216dbacked Heat | 36c | 424.6$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Timberwolves | 59c | 414.46$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.93 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…a131backed Timberwolves | 63c | 411.66$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.31 | 153 | 65.4%100 W · 53 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Timberwolves | 62c | 371.98$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.35 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Timberwolves | 64c | 371.14$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.37 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Heat | 42c | 361.95$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.73 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 359.18$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.45 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Timberwolves | 58c | 354.98$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.79 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54aa…38ccbacked Heat | 23c | 349.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Timberwolves | 60c | 340$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7a…34ebbacked Heat | 35c | 330.26$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.59 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Heat | 38c | 305$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.32 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Timberwolves | 60c | 300$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.44 | 117 | 19.7%23 W · 94 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Timberwolves | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…5243backed Heat | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fca…a099backed Heat | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Timberwolves | 58c | 297.99$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.16 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac9…70b0backed Heat | 47c | 287.64$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.71 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Heat | 35c | 285.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Heat | 31c | 285.11$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.19 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Heat | 36c | 280.75$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.68 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…2a60backed Timberwolves | 55c | 280$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.6 | 456 | 47.8%218 W · 238 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Heat | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…5f70backed Heat | 50c | 266.19$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.42 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Heat | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9528…8c40backed Heat | 35c | 261.57$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…0ee5backed Heat | 35c | 257.14$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Heat | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Heat | 41c | 255.97$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.95 | 165 | 63.6%105 W · 60 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d86…f0bbbacked Timberwolves | 65c | 252.67$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.43 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 60cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0271…63abbacked Timberwolves | 66c | 247.33$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.09 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Timberwolves | 63c | 238$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.06 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.