TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Monte vs Passion UA (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Monteof Monte, Passion UA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$509,152
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$620,887

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $509,152 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 286 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1a5c…a375backed Monte64c99,984$63,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,018.645238.5%20 W · 32 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c38…1218backed Passion UA55c77,908$42,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,794.797440.5%30 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Passion UA53c69,770$36,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,977.8739249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed Monte50c45,240$22,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,593.4672453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed Passion UA39c32,792$12,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,643.757943%34 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2606…ba10backed Monte47c29,332$13,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,545.913956.4%22 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Monte47c22,732$10,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,048.1522142.5%94 W · 127 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed Monte45c11,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,999.9528248.9%138 W · 144 L+21.4wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Passion UA36c6,659$2,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,397.3622049.1%108 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Passion UA37c5,628$2,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,071.757358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a96…4e13backed Monte47c5,561$2,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,947.4622358.7%131 W · 92 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd604…ee57backed Monte44c5,462$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,061.974731.9%15 W · 32 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-27.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Monte69c5,422$3,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,654.727,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5674…8b14backed Passion UA46c4,449$2,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,055.1836742.8%157 W · 210 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Passion UA54c3,602$1,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,944.7920458.3%119 W · 85 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Passion UA48c3,566$1,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,709.094,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x27c5…6d61backed Passion UA24c3,493$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.966934.8%24 W · 45 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed2…d00bbacked Monte46c3,445$1,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,847.685750.9%29 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Passion UA53c3,158$1,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,666.593,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5c1…7487backed Passion UA44c2,732$1,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,212.4716732.9%55 W · 112 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Passion UA33c2,570$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.226,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6978…9897backed Passion UA63c1,959$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231.4812449.2%61 W · 63 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Monte62c1,914$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.655,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Monte45c1,903$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.071,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Monte45c1,884$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.232,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf743…1811backed Passion UA27c1,860$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.4229831.5%94 W · 204 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Passion UA55c1,797$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.5453545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4092…f145backed Monte72c1,544$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.715650%28 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed Passion UA27c1,530$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.0848437.6%182 W · 302 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43ff…a491backed Passion UA38c1,436$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.099554.7%52 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f30…3aeebacked Monte42c1,407$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.478353%44 W · 39 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Passion UA24c1,320$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.82965.5%19 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9553…4998backed Passion UA53c1,289$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.96650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+32.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Passion UA27c1,198$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.5442638%162 W · 264 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x151e…58debacked Monte75c1,184$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.613765%89 W · 48 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56b4…c4adbacked Monte44c1,137$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.1413845.7%63 W · 75 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0258…06d0backed Monte46c1,116$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.751338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4e5…d034backed Passion UA55c1,104$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.1613044.6%58 W · 72 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Monte46c1,086$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.6324939.8%99 W · 150 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Monte54c1,084$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.6961837.9%234 W · 384 L-22.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Monte47c1,033$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.4841260.9%251 W · 161 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed Passion UA59c991.65$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.2510339.8%41 W · 62 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Passion UA56c977.3$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.521,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed Passion UA57c918.69$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.6355043.1%237 W · 313 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1393…ba33backed Passion UA53c916.79$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.916546.7%77 W · 88 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Passion UA54c900.37$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.296545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Passion UA54c886.26$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.5829851.3%153 W · 145 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a84…dd32backed Passion UA57c865.55$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.222020%4 W · 16 L-6.0wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-58.3%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Passion UA44c844.38$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.811,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcd4…39b8backed Passion UA33c783.13$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.386637.9%25 W · 41 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Monte46c774.96$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.488751.7%45 W · 42 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked Monte46c734.94$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.879148.4%44 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x51bb…a919backed Monte53c703.94$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.097749.4%38 W · 39 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Monte47c677.74$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.226054.2%141 W · 119 L-0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3d5…7ca1backed Passion UA54c662.96$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3581764.7%11 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x766c…bb56backed Passion UA54c630.26$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.347245.8%33 W · 39 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Monte49c597.32$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.561,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Monte48c569.91$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.7417849.4%88 W · 90 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked Passion UA53c555.48$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.4735550.1%178 W · 177 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Passion UA54c554.25$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.958949.4%44 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed Monte50c538.75$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.867651.8%350 W · 326 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x423f…eedcbacked Monte48c532.99$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.7240655.7%226 W · 180 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Passion UA53c530$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.914454.2%78 W · 66 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Passion UA44c525.4$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.614,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ecb…52a5backed Monte74c522.49$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.794257.1%24 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x135f…528cbacked Passion UA26c507.72$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.948232.9%27 W · 55 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd71…a641backed Passion UA52c499.97$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.9940%0 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaf65…8576backed Monte63c499.17$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.062100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed Monte58c497.17$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.3119652.6%103 W · 93 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Passion UA50c494.62$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.945,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Monte47c490.88$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.1764852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Monte47c489.85$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.5633044.5%147 W · 183 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fcf…48e1backed Monte47c484.1$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.578749.4%43 W · 44 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Monte45c475.4$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.241,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9901…e9b4backed Passion UA41c461.53$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.794348.8%21 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Passion UA55c449.35$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.14633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-37%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked Monte47c430.39$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.979443.6%41 W · 53 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Monte74c427.82$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.5144957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0609…5aacbacked Passion UA27c422.2$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.5910347.6%49 W · 54 L-11.7wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-18.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3911…30f3backed Monte48c403.34$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.7426251.1%134 W · 128 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Monte65c402.16$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.372,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Passion UA49c388.72$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.991,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cd2…1f27backed Passion UA42c377.44$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.7754439.7%216 W · 328 L-1.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked Passion UA53c366.72$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.3617357.2%99 W · 74 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed Monte43c356.21$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.0432042.5%136 W · 184 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2c3…16ccbacked Passion UA27c354.15$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.623540%14 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Passion UA56c348.84$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.761338.2%234 W · 379 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Passion UA53c328.47$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.09742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc939…6e0fbacked Passion UA40c327.63$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.129044.4%40 W · 50 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x523e…3128backed Passion UA30c322.39$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7215544.5%69 W · 86 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Passion UA26c299.98$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7849849.6%247 W · 251 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb569…6fe0backed Monte48c293.76$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.7638452.3%201 W · 183 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9037…0386backed Passion UA30c291.1$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.553215.6%5 W · 27 L-8.2wins-0.26per pick41cpaid-67.9%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Monte67c286.08$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.6360147.4%285 W · 316 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Monte74c283.31$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.338858.2%226 W · 162 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0935…d9efbacked Monte69c283.19$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.877471.6%53 W · 21 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Passion UA53c281.84$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.6110062%62 W · 38 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+21.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d64…b4c0backed Passion UA37c275.41$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.033836.8%14 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Passion UA53c275.04$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.7748562.7%304 W · 181 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3d8…c0f2backed Passion UA54c272.21$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.