TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Argentina Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cerundoloof Altmaier, Cerundolo
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$504,314
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$521,447

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $504,314 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5877…d894backed Altmaier36c300,293$107,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107,045.0311633.6%39 W · 77 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Cerundolo57c179,411$102,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77,136.4711242.9%48 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Cerundolo79c35,957$28,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,512.1711,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Cerundolo80c23,660$18,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,779.762,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Cerundolo79c20,460$16,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,397.834944.9%22 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Cerundolo59c10,000$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,10043051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Cerundolo79c8,321$6,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,767.942,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Cerundolo58c7,230$4,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,036.511,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Altmaier20c7,167$1,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,428.678143.2%35 W · 46 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd995…2b51backed Altmaier10c5,957$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.673417.6%6 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Altmaier43c5,814$2,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,496.5916746.1%77 W · 90 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Cerundolo58c5,500$3,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,309.982347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45d9…a89abacked Altmaier20c5,004$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.7411123.4%26 W · 85 L-8.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Cerundolo58c4,955$2,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,080.115860.3%35 W · 23 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Altmaier42c4,921$2,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,066.5825428%71 W · 183 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Altmaier19c4,504$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.7197046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Altmaier19c4,263$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.171,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Cerundolo59c4,209$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,709.131172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+27%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Cerundolo59c4,000$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6605354.7%29 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Cerundolo57c3,835$2,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,64922037.7%83 W · 137 L+1.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Altmaier43c3,488$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5004153.7%22 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Altmaier20c3,052$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.5865558.9%386 W · 269 L-32.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Altmaier16c2,854$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.661,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Altmaier12c2,854$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.012,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Altmaier42c2,546$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,068.741,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9206…42a6backed Cerundolo80c2,256$1,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.715858.6%34 W · 24 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xab4e…c4a0backed Cerundolo59c2,034$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.910339.8%41 W · 62 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+34.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x153a…9d6dbacked Altmaier42c1,930$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.5328338.9%110 W · 173 L+0.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed Cerundolo58c1,896$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.515644.6%25 W · 31 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3e4…5bf6backed Cerundolo57c1,800$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.9520653.4%110 W · 96 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Altmaier42c1,642$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.571,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Altmaier41c1,634$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.8672452.6%381 W · 343 L+34.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Altmaier25c1,540$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.3424637.4%92 W · 154 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Cerundolo59c1,500$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61557645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3905…82fcbacked Cerundolo80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2505563.6%35 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Altmaier42c1,190$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.791,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Altmaier40c1,142$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.891,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2cc…55a0backed Altmaier42c1,118$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.564748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed Cerundolo58c1,112$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.2612631%39 W · 87 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Altmaier11c1,098$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1179737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Cerundolo74c1,090$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.822,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Altmaier42c1,077$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.316439.1%25 W · 39 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Cerundolo59c1,057$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.289949.5%49 W · 50 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Altmaier5c1,006$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7165647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Cerundolo59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41011353.1%60 W · 53 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Cerundolo57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4305156.9%29 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Altmaier42c930$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.7221338.5%82 W · 131 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Altmaier41c893.46$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.8910739.3%42 W · 65 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Altmaier36c886.93$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.134330.2%13 W · 30 L-5.4wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-31.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9569…27fdbacked Cerundolo60c833.83$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.832268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Cerundolo60c833.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.3319846%91 W · 107 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Altmaier29c829.23$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.9149143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Altmaier26c764.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20063247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Cerundolo55c741.04$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.353,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Altmaier16c721.21$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11284736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked Altmaier42c664.21$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.9715244.1%67 W · 85 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Cerundolo58c600$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2524250%21 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Cerundolo57c565.73$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.8476140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Cerundolo58c555.17$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.175644.6%25 W · 31 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Cerundolo57c497.99$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.5578152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Cerundolo80c466.38$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.3715560.6%94 W · 61 L+15.6wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+21.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Altmaier18c462.48$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.876,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc55d…9d2dbacked Cerundolo80c458.49$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.885056%28 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Altmaier35c450.42$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.842634.6%9 W · 17 L-4.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-46.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Altmaier46c435.02$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20065651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Cerundolo80c411$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.2525152.6%132 W · 119 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Cerundolo59c400$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16442141.8%176 W · 245 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Altmaier12c399.24$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.952528%7 W · 18 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-29.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Altmaier17c396.31$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.732,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf60d…761abacked Cerundolo58c394$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.482661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9a1…4dbdbacked Altmaier42c394$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.482650%13 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Altmaier43c383.7$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.424332.6%14 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Cerundolo57c351.07$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.0737339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe292…a29dbacked Altmaier45c341.43$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1552259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5140…9951backed Cerundolo59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.986258.1%36 W · 26 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Altmaier42c336$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.121,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4eb2…8083backed Altmaier43c334.88$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1441050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe940…b9a6backed Cerundolo57c327.4$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.781546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Cerundolo66c321.88$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.92,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f97…a9b3backed Altmaier27c308.52$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8326227.9%73 W · 189 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Altmaier41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12346649.8%232 W · 234 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Cerundolo58c297$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.7418548.1%89 W · 96 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Altmaier45c291.58$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13088446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb4c…1ca9backed Altmaier42c287.55$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.2215363.4%97 W · 56 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed Altmaier33c279.41$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.0110150.5%51 W · 50 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Altmaier40c264.06$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.6223126%60 W · 171 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Altmaier46c260.87$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12037444.1%165 W · 209 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Altmaier42c249.97$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9922737.4%85 W · 142 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca4…e4e7backed Cerundolo58c243.1$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.18350.6%42 W · 41 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Altmaier42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040141.9%168 W · 233 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c36…36a0backed Cerundolo59c231.42$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.88922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-62.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa402…4d84backed Altmaier45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001973.7%14 W · 5 L+4.2wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+43.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe21a…88edbacked Cerundolo80c204.48$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9825%2 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-66.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb8f4…4867backed Cerundolo58c204$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf218…93dbbacked Altmaier42c204$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcac8…8bc1backed Altmaier42c203$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8abe…61f6backed Cerundolo58c203$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Cerundolo58c202.1$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.9365849.4%325 W · 333 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8749…ff18backed Cerundolo59c202$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3ae…b6fabacked Altmaier41c202$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.