Europa Conference League · resolved market
Real Betis Balompié vs. Panathinaikós AO: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb936e8ea42e89ca0a257bf2a98e663da127744e3f2b169b9bd1c53b6f13a234
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,073
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,073 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 1,873$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.4 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 50c | 1,133$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 43c | 779.45$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.96 | 67 | 22.4%15 W · 52 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Yes | 47c | 700$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed No | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 48c | 414.04$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.48 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 53c | 401.47$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.69 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a2…468cbacked No | 52c | 399.94$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.97 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 45c | 323.4$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.53 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed No | 53c | 299.98$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.99 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked No | 55c | 256.05$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.65 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 47c | 222$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.34 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…359bbacked No | 52c | 221.21$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.78 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked No | 54c | 130$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…8668backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0609…5aacbacked Yes | 50c | 101.04$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -46%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd499…7d5bbacked Yes | 50c | 100.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 50c | 88.14$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fca…cfc3backed Yes | 50c | 88.14$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Yes | 36c | 68.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked Yes | 20c | 67.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked No | 54c | 65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked No | 55c | 63.82$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6af…05c6backed Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8b…ebb0backed Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…77aebacked No | 52c | 58.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb00…5461backed No | 54c | 55.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 56c | 53.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.63 | 218 | 35.8%78 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 48c | 53.39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde42…e01bbacked Yes | 50c | 51.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…2c2cbacked Yes | 47c | 51.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 266 | 47.4%126 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked No | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 53c | 49.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…8ca1backed Yes | 50c | 44.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617d…90cfbacked Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.26per pick | 63cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed No | 54c | 38.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe762…064bbacked No | 54c | 34.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.23per pick | 51cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 53c | 33.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…d3fbbacked Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabf9…7205backed Yes | 48c | 29.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf09b…5971backed Yes | 47c | 27.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbce1…849cbacked Yes | 50c | 24.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed No | 57c | 22.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3612…cf99backed No | 70c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48c…d7cdbacked No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 69c | 17.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Panathinaikós AO: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Panathinaikós AO: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Panathinaikós AO: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Panathinaikós AO: O/U 3.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Panathinaikós AO: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5)Real Betis Balompié won
- Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-2.5)Real Betis Balompié won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)Real Betis Balompié won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-2.5)Real Betis Balompié won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.