Europa Conference League · resolved market
Real Betis Balompié vs. Panathinaikós AO: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x081b58c09ec56b1318c020116699bd0776e4db1b49a16c3e221a51f3a3018f3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,479 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 66c | 18,695$12,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,338.43 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 34c | 7,162$2,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,727.16 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 35c | 5,111$1,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,332.27 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 35c | 4,532$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,948.09 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 35c | 1,580$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.44 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 50c | 1,521$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.5 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 32c | 883.85$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.12 | 67 | 22.4%15 W · 52 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 68c | 600$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed Under | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8735…41bbbacked Under | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 2cpaid | +903%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…68f3backed Under | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Over | 49c | 314$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.14 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Under | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…1521backed Under | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 33c | 259.8$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.06 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 32c | 250$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 65c | 199.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf6…cf2abacked Over | 74c | 196.65$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 34c | 175.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.13 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…359bbacked Under | 67c | 166.03$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.61 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…ea31backed Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Over | 55c | 132$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.86 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 35c | 112.28$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.4 | 179 | 56.4%101 W · 78 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 48c | 106.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.06 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 101.85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.44 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…d512backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…4788backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -50%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 65c | 96.95$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.02 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Under | 69c | 94.2$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 34c | 75.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 218 | 35.8%78 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 34c | 74.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.15 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 19c | 74.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 31c | 73.06$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.32 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde42…e01bbacked Over | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3864…a1b8backed Over | 35c | 67.74$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 34c | 62.12$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…17b3backed Over | 31c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 30c | 59.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.35 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 34c | 58.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.81 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Under | 62c | 51.06$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.66 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3590…68f1backed Under | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Over | 40c | 34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbf…ec49backed Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…988dbacked Under | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 69c | 27.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb887…d08cbacked Under | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb957…549cbacked Under | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Panathinaikós AO: O/U 3.5this page
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Panathinaikós AO: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Panathinaikós AO: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Panathinaikós AO: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Panathinaikós AO: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5)Real Betis Balompié won
- Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-2.5)Real Betis Balompié won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)Real Betis Balompié won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-2.5)Real Betis Balompié won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.