TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Real Betis Balompié vs. Panathinaikós AO: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,086

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,086 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb8c4…7385backed Under43c4,555$1,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,968.6420132.3%65 W · 136 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8bf6…cf2abacked Under1c4,192$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over57c2,410$1,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.693,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over57c2,310$1,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.2911242.9%48 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under43c1,678$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.6238247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over56c1,234$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.751957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under44c848.43$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.392050.9%468 W · 452 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2b…ab92backed Over68c603.89$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.562100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Over54c550$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Under20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2304250%21 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcde4…91b3backed Under49c404.2$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Over55c403.88$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.881145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over58c382$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.442552%13 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27d3…0764backed Over55c365.49$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.47250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.147054.3%38 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Over57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.882142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over65c340.07$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.372,99942.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L+7.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b09…13d3backed Over56c300.6$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.36683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick50cpaid+73.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over57c297.75$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.036722.4%15 W · 52 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-46.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Under44c284.09$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12511449.1%56 W · 58 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under45c262.48$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.551,02647.4%486 W · 540 L-3.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under23c241.85$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5821835.8%78 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under46c223.28$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.1716543.6%72 W · 93 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Under48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002729.6%8 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under45c204.42$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.9988048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over54c203.7$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.75554.5%30 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Under45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908442.9%36 W · 48 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Over50c194.12$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.068947.2%42 W · 47 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x14ec…0923backed Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.19475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+28.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under44c182.49$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.793366.7%22 W · 11 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+44.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Under45c176.5$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.422540%10 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked Over56c168.22$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.22948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9ece…8786backed Over65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.85560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over55c119$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.559858.2%57 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x850b…5493backed Under46c118.95$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.53837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick65cpaid-46.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e09…2d11backed Over55c110$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66fe…2fbfbacked Under47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick49cpaid-64.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf16…9c6fbacked Under48c104.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.99633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid+19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over58c103.2$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3417249.4%85 W · 87 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4513337.6%50 W · 83 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9a9…14ebbacked Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+87.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Under48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487143.7%31 W · 40 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over57c99.99$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439048.9%44 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Over57c99.66$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.662965.5%19 W · 10 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x138d…3bd4backed Under31c96.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Over55c91.51$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.519748.5%47 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over54c83.33$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.333259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Over57c79.17$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.172138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d9f…77aebacked Over54c74.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.071855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over75c73.84$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4913040%52 W · 78 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under45c69.98$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.721,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdd2…82c5backed Under46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over58c60.34$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3426747.2%126 W · 141 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Over75c60$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154353.5%23 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8dfe…4feebacked Over55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under42c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.527939.8%111 W · 168 L-15.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over67c59.39$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.617855.6%99 W · 79 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under32c59$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.722245.5%10 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under44c57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.085435.2%19 W · 35 L-8.1wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-31.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5559…2bd2backed Under44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-37.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Under44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256136.1%22 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over60c56.17$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2670639.5%279 W · 427 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8088…24dabacked Over55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.552433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Under47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259638.5%37 W · 59 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5631…bd3abacked Over57c52.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.72757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under46c52.01$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.71,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Over64c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185366%35 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Under45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.513554.1%73 W · 62 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under47c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.428331.3%26 W · 57 L-9.2wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-30%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x2809…0b89backed Over52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.085455.6%30 W · 24 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+32.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd797…692dbacked Over77c46.03$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Under47c45.28$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.286647%31 W · 35 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Under44c45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.81612.5%2 W · 14 L-5.8wins-0.36per pick49cpaid-77.7%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Under44c45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.82729.6%8 W · 19 L-5.2wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-38.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Under44c44.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.793231.3%10 W · 22 L-6.2wins-0.19per pick51cpaid-37.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdc45…14bcbacked Over57c41.79$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.02475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+34.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7440…30aebacked Over54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed Over57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.095752.6%30 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0ab…2c2fbacked Under49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc82d…7199backed Over54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+33.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under44c28.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6116856.5%95 W · 73 L+0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under48c27$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9655545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffea…5f0abacked Over70c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.51855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over52c23.82$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4313050%65 W · 65 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over78c17.04$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.7512355.3%68 W · 55 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.