Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbec29caf15f5f4ec4111827e0b9c814c9ba4abd1c266fb83d7b88229caca5b20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, Karmine Corp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,341
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,341 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x22d0…6293backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 9,140$4,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,793.42 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Karmine Corp | 38c | 8,277$3,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,173.18 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Karmine Corp | 1c | 3,795$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.34 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Karmine Corp | 49c | 2,664$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.99 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 2,314$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.32 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…5bf7backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 2,020$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec6…1d8ebacked Karmine Corp | 55c | 1,929$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.85 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Karmine Corp | 55c | 1,879$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.26 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +11.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 1,700$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a2…283abacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 1,515$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb207…c751backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 1,428$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 1,219$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.01 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed94…bc82backed Karmine Corp | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8610…1ac3backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Karmine Corp | 25c | 1,038$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.41 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 918.1$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.37 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 800$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Karmine Corp | 52c | 792.5$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.1 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x890f…64d9backed Karmine Corp | 54c | 765$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa64a…f583backed Karmine Corp | 54c | 750$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…96a6backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 718.18$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.75 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd29e…d82abacked Karmine Corp | 54c | 680$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a7…d3b9backed Karmine Corp | 54c | 675$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c7…a27ebacked Karmine Corp | 55c | 666.68$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd922…fed8backed Karmine Corp | 54c | 665$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa7…d27abacked Karmine Corp | 20c | 647.07$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.62 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 641.88$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.3 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d3…9f1bbacked Karmine Corp | 52c | 618$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 597.22$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.47 | 343 | 56.9%195 W · 148 L | +23.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4465…db2abacked Natus Vincere | 71c | 554.02$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 542.89$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.45 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 510.4$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.98 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…b0f3backed Karmine Corp | 57c | 475.83$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 457.18$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.3 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…edd4backed Karmine Corp | 52c | 446.4$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc104…a5c0backed Karmine Corp | 57c | 420$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.84 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5832…f585backed Karmine Corp | 51c | 394.4$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00fb…4442backed Karmine Corp | 52c | 384$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb22…13b0backed Karmine Corp | 32c | 331.46$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.86 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 59cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.22 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 300$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.1 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Karmine Corp | 52c | 294.91$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.35 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 262.55$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.9 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6437…b9debacked Karmine Corp | 27c | 260$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked Karmine Corp | 17c | 237.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Karmine Corp | 56c | 221.72$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.07 | 199 | 45.2%90 W · 109 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8940…64f1backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 220$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12a1…4e4dbacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked Karmine Corp | 55c | 211.53$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.13 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Karmine Corp | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…385dbacked Natus Vincere | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1637…2fa1backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 198$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…5bc3backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 188.59$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904a…1600backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 175$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9b…eb8dbacked Karmine Corp | 36c | 174.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Karmine Corp | 38c | 167.83$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.14 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0609…5aacbacked Karmine Corp | 30c | 167.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Karmine Corp | 53c | 150$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 235 | 48.5%114 W · 121 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x604f…c615backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 139.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Karmine Corp | 39c | 135.9$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 133.65$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.24 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked Karmine Corp | 31c | 133$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.26 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 130$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33c…2bd1backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 110$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc46…a7ecbacked Natus Vincere | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2147…f935backed Karmine Corp | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4da5…e32ebacked Karmine Corp | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +10.9wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8476backed Karmine Corp | 53c | 87.1$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Karmine Corp | 48c | 82.35$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.23 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Karmine Corp | 50c | 81.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 79.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Karmine Corp | 56c | 78.57$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 229 | 55%126 W · 103 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Karmine Corp | 56c | 73.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4332…975dbacked Karmine Corp | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Karmine Corp | 55c | 70.49$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 59.72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…f845backed Karmine Corp | 53c | 56.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cee…1ac0backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 53.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x985b…ce2cbacked Karmine Corp | 57c | 52.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Karmine Corp | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…227bbacked Karmine Corp | 29c | 49.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Karmine Corp | 47c | 47.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Karmine Corp | 35c | 46.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Karmine Corp | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 44.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe7…1311backed Karmine Corp | 55c | 43.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -8.0wins | -0.26per pick | 58cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 40.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 39.51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2310…d6a8backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 38.04$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0f…84b9backed Karmine Corp | 57c | 35.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed Karmine Corp | 52c | 33.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Karmine Corp | 48c | 32.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6760…3ad4backed Karmine Corp | 32c | 32.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…4dccbacked Karmine Corp | 52c | 32.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bf…e852backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp (BO3)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Karmine Corp to win 0 maps?Yes won
- Karmine Corp to win 1 maps?No won
- Karmine Corp to win 1 maps?No won
- Karmine Corp to win 2 maps?No won
- Karmine Corp to win 2 maps?No won
- Map Handicap: KC (-1.5)Natus Vincere won
- Natus Vincere to win 0 maps?No won
- Natus Vincere to win 1 maps?No won
- Natus Vincere to win 1 maps?No won
- Natus Vincere to win 2 maps?Yes won
- Natus Vincere to win 2 maps?Yes won
- Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.