Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Utrecht win on 2025-10-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf5676c1c556c04c2df8393af608a3751d46f40f95be0d4e6d34b05023c4dd7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,670
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,107
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,670 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 27c | 20,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 73c | 10,000$7,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 8,305$6,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,104.01 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 26c | 4,148$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.94 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 28c | 4,100$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 72c | 3,067$2,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.83 | 122 | 69.7%85 W · 37 L | +14.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Yes | 11c | 2,876$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 73c | 2,639$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.28 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 27c | 1,400$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…c434backed No | 74c | 999.63$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 74c | 979.66$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.33 | 153 | 76.5%117 W · 36 L | +37.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 26c | 811.32$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.95 | 74 | 17.6%13 W · 61 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3791…158fbacked Yes | 26c | 794.63$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 74c | 590.54$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.54 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6c…2888backed Yes | 12c | 401.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 26c | 399.98$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.99 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 72c | 376.22$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.68 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e69…bebebacked Yes | 30c | 338.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 32c | 310.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 25c | 199.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…7293backed No | 73c | 181.02$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 70c | 180.64$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.19 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ee…e354backed Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 71c | 123.15$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.15 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed No | 74c | 115$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9078…fbfcbacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3279…a922backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 72c | 98.7$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 75 | 21.3%16 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes | 14c | 91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 200 | 42%84 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6e…1fd7backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 72c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…2accbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed No | 73c | 59.25$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 57cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed No | 74c | 54.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed No | 74c | 25.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…8d6dbacked No | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0609…5aacbacked No | 74c | 17.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -46%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 70c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Utrecht win on 2025-10-02?this page
- Will Brann vs. FC Utrecht end in a draw?No won
- Will Brann win on 2025-10-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.