Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: PEEK vs Equipe Caos (BO3) - VCL Brazil: Play-In
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b6d3a02611fa51b694aebd3fae82386a2d81bcf71fa3818c1f333a6d333874d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PEEKof PEEK, Equipe Caos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,314
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,314 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b37…1f70backed Equipe Caos | 74c | 1,944$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.25 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed PEEK | 26c | 1,250$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.99 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Equipe Caos | 58c | 1,179$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.99 | 242 | 50.4%122 W · 120 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3df…f557backed PEEK | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked PEEK | 66c | 943.62$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.44 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +36%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked Equipe Caos | 72c | 787.25$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Equipe Caos | 53c | 612.47$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.77 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Equipe Caos | 74c | 600$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed PEEK | 28c | 557.84$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.64 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed PEEK | 48c | 393.92$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.14 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed PEEK | 26c | 365.35$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.36 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked PEEK | 28c | 306.84$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.84 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Equipe Caos | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd20f…2f35backed PEEK | 50c | 200.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.23 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked Equipe Caos | 41c | 171$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.11 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed PEEK | 59c | 156$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.21 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked PEEK | 46c | 149.6$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.9 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked PEEK | 27c | 120$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.6 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Equipe Caos | 73c | 99.97$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.48 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked PEEK | 33c | 93.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.78 | 170 | 39.4%67 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd5…84c4backed PEEK | 43c | 89.84$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Equipe Caos | 73c | 83.78$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed PEEK | 28c | 78$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.36 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…999bbacked PEEK | 66c | 75.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed PEEK | 27c | 71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.83 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed PEEK | 58c | 70.69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc10a…45bfbacked PEEK | 32c | 69.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f69…1535backed Equipe Caos | 73c | 69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a7…203fbacked Equipe Caos | 72c | 65.89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -28%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked Equipe Caos | 48c | 62.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Equipe Caos | 74c | 59.51$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.04 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked PEEK | 27c | 55.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked PEEK | 27c | 54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.42 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…692abacked PEEK | 48c | 52.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dde…5e80backed Equipe Caos | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked PEEK | 50c | 46.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed PEEK | 31c | 44.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 207 | 55.6%115 W · 92 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed PEEK | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba6…2a7ebacked Equipe Caos | 73c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa423…d3dfbacked PEEK | 36c | 36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +139.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed PEEK | 36c | 36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 144 | 36.1%52 W · 92 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77eb…7f9bbacked PEEK | 46c | 32.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed Equipe Caos | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Equipe Caos | 80c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed PEEK | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…ab22backed PEEK | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed PEEK | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 109 | 59.6%65 W · 44 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabc2…02f5backed Equipe Caos | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Equipe Caos | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aeb…cd01backed PEEK | 54c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2567…2371backed Equipe Caos | 73c | 23.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x018c…0216backed Equipe Caos | 71c | 20.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaef…269bbacked Equipe Caos | 71c | 18.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d3…5ea8backed Equipe Caos | 74c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked Equipe Caos | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: PEEK vs Equipe Caos (BO3) - VCL Brazil: Play-Inthis page
- Map Handicap: EC (-1.5) vs PEEK (+1.5)PEEK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.