CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Alpha Dominion Nation (BO1) - DraculaN Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a644262ca87b651d703053af1688e73f5a12e751a1135225dc461f8efe6c174
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZ NXTof MOUZ NXT, Alpha Dominion Nation
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,935
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,935 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 18c | 533.78$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x883a…73b0backed MOUZ NXT | 66c | 447.19$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.25 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 45c | 436$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.08 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 38c | 236.54$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.42 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 29c | 157.57$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.71 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked MOUZ NXT | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fc…dbc6backed MOUZ NXT | 79c | 121.56$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…d790backed MOUZ NXT | 78c | 120$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 28c | 110.14$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.84 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…6d93backed MOUZ NXT | 78c | 85.91$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked MOUZ NXT | 49c | 58.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.06 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 28c | 51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ NXT | 74c | 44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f69…1535backed MOUZ NXT | 78c | 38.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked MOUZ NXT | 56c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed MOUZ NXT | 78c | 13.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.