TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Motiv Esports vs Alter Ego (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Motiv Esportsof Motiv Esports, Alter Ego
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,151

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,151 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1b37…1f70backed Motiv Esports65c3,825$2,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,321.7511159.5%66 W · 45 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9087…457bbacked Motiv Esports62c2,460$1,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.74250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Motiv Esports65c2,376$1,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.5715850%79 W · 79 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa16f…abbebacked Alter Ego19c2,232$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Alter Ego34c2,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68041734.8%145 W · 272 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Alter Ego34c1,499$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.523129%9 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Alter Ego35c1,467$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.516639.2%65 W · 101 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Alter Ego32c1,250$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.82128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6a9…12debacked Alter Ego19c1,200$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ee…193ebacked Alter Ego19c933.95$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb17a…c30dbacked Alter Ego34c805$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.7862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf257…ba86backed Motiv Esports66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.58977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+21%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Alter Ego35c714.29$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25029733.3%99 W · 198 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Alter Ego36c639.21$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.8934847.4%165 W · 183 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Motiv Esports64c519.18$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.8527546.2%127 W · 148 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Alter Ego41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e22…404dbacked Alter Ego11c483$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.07540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+177.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf704…bed4backed Motiv Esports64c474.87$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.123100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd760…8e82backed Alter Ego39c416.08$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.27250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cc5…7b98backed Alter Ego34c408.74$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-64%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Alter Ego27c405.84$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.051,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce09…a251backed Motiv Esports63c366.64$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.66366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1599…5432backed Alter Ego32c314.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…6df7backed Alter Ego13c310.23$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.221915.8%3 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.19per pick34cpaid-69.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Alter Ego34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10286747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked Motiv Esports69c259.64$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.915162.7%32 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Motiv Esports66c232.21$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.9525556.1%143 W · 112 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Alter Ego37c225$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.719037.8%34 W · 56 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Alter Ego35c219.93$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.981729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-37.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xea8d…e9d3backed Motiv Esports65c217.81$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.23450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb96…34b9backed Motiv Esports61c216.66$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a22…2317backed Alter Ego37c210.26$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.721741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93de…f485backed Alter Ego38c206.92$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Alter Ego15c199.97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022018.2%40 W · 180 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0622…cbc0backed Motiv Esports61c199.42$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfed1…7db1backed Alter Ego25c182.35$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b3a…df40backed Alter Ego35c181.8$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Motiv Esports64c167.6$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.733753.1%179 W · 158 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed Motiv Esports80c165.73$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.157565.3%49 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2a7…7916backed Motiv Esports66c157$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95cc…3533backed Motiv Esports80c154.66$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.511573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf743…1811backed Alter Ego33c152.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.031827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-37.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Alter Ego9c144.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4227411.3%31 W · 243 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f69…1535backed Alter Ego35c114.54$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Alter Ego36c111.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1353442.1%225 W · 309 L-15.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed Alter Ego34c110.29$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.56346%29 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8a7…203fbacked Alter Ego38c106.28$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.42842.9%12 W · 16 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-28%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3e5b…0324backed Alter Ego35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3512151.2%62 W · 59 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dde…5e80backed Alter Ego36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Motiv Esports59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415453.7%29 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c55…84cebacked Alter Ego37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3715042%63 W · 87 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked Alter Ego35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3525745.9%118 W · 139 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked Alter Ego62c96.13$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.914261.9%26 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f8f…1ee8backed Motiv Esports52c95.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf564…a382backed Alter Ego37c93.98$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.77250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77a5…56f3backed Alter Ego37c91.13$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f37…9b2bbacked Alter Ego37c90.83$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ed3…983fbacked Alter Ego37c90.7$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe84…54ddbacked Alter Ego36c85.93$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2218651.1%95 W · 91 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Motiv Esports65c81.51$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.532245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Alter Ego35c80$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.610749.5%53 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d28…fbdfbacked Motiv Esports66c71.21$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.212100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+84.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf29…bd92backed Alter Ego35c67.71$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38fa…acaabacked Alter Ego30c67.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4129…ce4fbacked Alter Ego27c64.3$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.58250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+239.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67da…9da8backed Alter Ego34c58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.721040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x362e…5ef9backed Alter Ego24c55.22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.27728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-62.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24e3…7311backed Motiv Esports66c45.29$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.41850%9 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Alter Ego27c43.85$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9157517.7%102 W · 473 L-71.7wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-42.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x9368…8b01backed Alter Ego35c43.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.223336.4%12 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x345d…4e41backed Alter Ego37c41.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.532548%12 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea7…8fd2backed Alter Ego28c40.96$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.472138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d9c…591dbacked Alter Ego26c39.06$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked Motiv Esports59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.962856.4%354 W · 274 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76b5…a423backed Alter Ego34c32$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.882638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-40.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x19f8…52d4backed Alter Ego58c31.11$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-51.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc332…59a9backed Alter Ego66c30.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fa7…2bb4backed Alter Ego34c29.83$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.22653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe00d…4251backed Motiv Esports79c26.58$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.58650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x023d…23acbacked Motiv Esports79c24.51$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.151163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+41.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Motiv Esports66c21.7$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.452231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Motiv Esports59c20.78$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.521283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick72cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Motiv Esports78c20.26$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4640254.7%220 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40d5…9f56backed Motiv Esports77c19.17$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea6…dcf5backed Motiv Esports80c12.79$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.56250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.