NHL · resolved market
AHL: Milwaukee Admirals vs. Chicago Wolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacab63e6cab50d85e0861663e240c586756da30de0f53d66d9d5b167530a84b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Admiralsof Milwaukee Admirals, Chicago Wolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,248
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,248 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31e2…98a8backed Chicago Wolves | 51c | 11,357$5,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,792.07 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…0de1backed Milwaukee Admirals | 49c | 11,357$5,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,792.07 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed Chicago Wolves | 49c | 8,710$4,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,241.39 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Milwaukee Admirals | 51c | 2,735$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.15 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Chicago Wolves | 47c | 1,324$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.45 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Milwaukee Admirals | 55c | 1,281$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.6 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…e769backed Milwaukee Admirals | 50c | 840$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Milwaukee Admirals | 51c | 639$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.11 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01e7…3199backed Milwaukee Admirals | 52c | 612$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Chicago Wolves | 48c | 600.52$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.87 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Milwaukee Admirals | 50c | 566$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4a…4ce0backed Milwaukee Admirals | 50c | 480$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c19…bfaebacked Milwaukee Admirals | 52c | 402.23$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74c5…6cb7backed Milwaukee Admirals | 50c | 381.05$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.05 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Milwaukee Admirals | 50c | 375$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.75 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8410…9713backed Milwaukee Admirals | 50c | 333$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab9…4669backed Milwaukee Admirals | 54c | 272.22$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.22 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Milwaukee Admirals | 51c | 236$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.64 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe88f…8cb1backed Chicago Wolves | 47c | 219$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f5…cf41backed Milwaukee Admirals | 53c | 218.5$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e4…01b2backed Milwaukee Admirals | 53c | 218.16$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa96f…d850backed Chicago Wolves | 47c | 216$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfa…2903backed Chicago Wolves | 47c | 209$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0949…61dcbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 53c | 208.84$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2dd…bcb9backed Chicago Wolves | 47c | 208$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…319ebacked Milwaukee Admirals | 53c | 204.37$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…af96backed Chicago Wolves | 47c | 202$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f28…001ebacked Milwaukee Admirals | 53c | 200.46$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c01…dce1backed Milwaukee Admirals | 53c | 198.63$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f69…1535backed Milwaukee Admirals | 50c | 198$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 54c | 193.27$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.77 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fac…870cbacked Chicago Wolves | 47c | 192$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4303…13acbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 53c | 190.31$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…672abacked Chicago Wolves | 47c | 189$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8089…5d7cbacked Chicago Wolves | 47c | 187$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9077…4414backed Chicago Wolves | 47c | 184$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1882…8c21backed Milwaukee Admirals | 53c | 183.54$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecff…846fbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 53c | 182.69$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x141b…f988backed Milwaukee Admirals | 53c | 182.5$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8285…d016backed Chicago Wolves | 47c | 182$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Milwaukee Admirals | 55c | 181$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.41 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Milwaukee Admirals | 50c | 166.66$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf98…a5c3backed Milwaukee Admirals | 51c | 143.59$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.36 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 55c | 114.55$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.55 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 48c | 110.72$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.58 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Chicago Wolves | 52c | 108.8$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.58 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Chicago Wolves | 47c | 99.08$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.57 | 497 | 47.9%238 W · 259 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed Chicago Wolves | 48c | 69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Milwaukee Admirals | 17c | 68.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.84 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Milwaukee Admirals | 50c | 61.94$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.97 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…5403backed Chicago Wolves | 45c | 61.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Chicago Wolves | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Milwaukee Admirals | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Milwaukee Admirals | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Milwaukee Admirals | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…9a83backed Milwaukee Admirals | 50c | 49.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Milwaukee Admirals | 53c | 41.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Milwaukee Admirals | 52c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 175 | 53.1%93 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d40…2230backed Milwaukee Admirals | 50c | 40.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +80%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…bcabbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Milwaukee Admirals | 34c | 31.21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Milwaukee Admirals | 50c | 28.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked Milwaukee Admirals | 52c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Milwaukee Admirals | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Milwaukee Admirals | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 222 | 55.9%124 W · 98 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…c396backed Milwaukee Admirals | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10a0…e54dbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b74…1e21backed Milwaukee Admirals | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.