Tennis · resolved market
Phoenix: Jay Dylan Friend vs Stefan Kozlov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf18ae2396272173a93fa4e7ad46c06c3ead27258ca10800df79eb22907f1bf55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jay Dylan Friendof Jay Dylan Friend, Stefan Kozlov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,789
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,789 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Stefan Kozlov | 17c | 6,731$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.12 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Jay Dylan Friend | 40c | 5,457$2,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250.15 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Stefan Kozlov | 41c | 2,069$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.16 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Jay Dylan Friend | 53c | 1,804$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.12 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Stefan Kozlov | 78c | 1,339$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.34 | 244 | 38.9%95 W · 149 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Jay Dylan Friend | 60c | 1,003$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.48 | 440 | 38.4%169 W · 271 L | -27.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Stefan Kozlov | 44c | 779.22$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.15 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Jay Dylan Friend | 66c | 725.97$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.2 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Stefan Kozlov | 30c | 712.48$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.3 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x093a…1b3fbacked Stefan Kozlov | 66c | 651.49$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 275 | 66.5%183 W · 92 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jay Dylan Friend | 61c | 624.24$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.38 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked Jay Dylan Friend | 80c | 600$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Jay Dylan Friend | 56c | 521$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.24 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Stefan Kozlov | 24c | 429.72$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.7 | 288 | 35.1%101 W · 187 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Stefan Kozlov | 19c | 418.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.85 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Stefan Kozlov | 11c | 411.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Jay Dylan Friend | 57c | 380$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.24 | 279 | 40.1%112 W · 167 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46ff…6672backed Stefan Kozlov | 6c | 359.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 155 | 12.9%20 W · 135 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed Jay Dylan Friend | 52c | 340$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.2 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f69…1535backed Stefan Kozlov | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Stefan Kozlov | 48c | 299.39$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.71 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Stefan Kozlov | 10c | 217.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Jay Dylan Friend | 55c | 210.53$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.71 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Stefan Kozlov | 50c | 204.67$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.35 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Jay Dylan Friend | 48c | 183.09$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.98 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Stefan Kozlov | 21c | 176$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.56 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Jay Dylan Friend | 40c | 175.88$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.97 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Jay Dylan Friend | 69c | 168.38$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.67 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Jay Dylan Friend | 63c | 148.72$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.71 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Jay Dylan Friend | 70c | 143.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 287 | 26.8%77 W · 210 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Stefan Kozlov | 35c | 137.14$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Jay Dylan Friend | 56c | 136.91$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Jay Dylan Friend | 63c | 120.76$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.68 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Jay Dylan Friend | 58c | 118$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Stefan Kozlov | 53c | 116$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.01 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Jay Dylan Friend | 68c | 113$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed Jay Dylan Friend | 31c | 110.66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.06 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Stefan Kozlov | 34c | 105.65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Jay Dylan Friend | 56c | 103.82$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.68 | 432 | 42.4%183 W · 249 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Stefan Kozlov | 17c | 101.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Stefan Kozlov | 14c | 100.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 412 | 72.8%300 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Stefan Kozlov | 18c | 94.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Jay Dylan Friend | 60c | 91.89$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.89 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f1…f53cbacked Stefan Kozlov | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Stefan Kozlov | 44c | 65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Stefan Kozlov | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 324 | 50.9%165 W · 159 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Stefan Kozlov | 33c | 58.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Stefan Kozlov | 29c | 54.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Stefan Kozlov | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Jay Dylan Friend | 60c | 42.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Stefan Kozlov | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Jay Dylan Friend | 28c | 37.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +51%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Jay Dylan Friend | 56c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Jay Dylan Friend | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Jay Dylan Friend | 57c | 34.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Jay Dylan Friend | 59c | 34.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 540 | 50.4%272 W · 268 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Stefan Kozlov | 46c | 33.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Stefan Kozlov | 43c | 33.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Stefan Kozlov | 36c | 30.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 275 | 46.5%128 W · 147 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Stefan Kozlov | 51c | 28.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Jay Dylan Friend | 52c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81c0…8b96backed Jay Dylan Friend | 54c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Stefan Kozlov | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 222 | 58.1%129 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee3…bf37backed Jay Dylan Friend | 52c | 21.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Phoenix: Jay Dylan Friend vs Stefan Kozlovthis page
- Friend vs. Kozlov: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Friend vs. Kozlov: Match O/U 23.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.