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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: M80 vs Alliance (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
M80of M80, Alliance
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$456,886
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$513,833

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $456,886 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 393 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked M8042c79,985$33,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,391.1339249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a5c…a375backed Alliance71c52,291$37,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,051.875238.5%20 W · 32 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Alliance58c39,372$22,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,835.867147.9%34 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed M8030c38,134$11,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,753.094557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+20.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed Alliance52c22,806$11,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,799.472453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed M8042c20,898$8,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,119.7630740.4%124 W · 183 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked M8079c12,508$9,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,673.2522468.8%154 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed M8067c11,406$7,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,737.5812450%62 W · 62 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Alliance23c11,330$2,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,583.5633449.1%164 W · 170 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd604…ee57backed Alliance49c10,117$4,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,984.414731.9%15 W · 32 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-27.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Alliance58c9,734$5,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,645.5723839.9%95 W · 143 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed M8051c8,482$4,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,171.964,27549.3%2,108 W · 2,167 L+64.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x077c…76babacked Alliance72c7,319$5,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,273.72666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Alliance58c6,824$3,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,957.6919645.4%89 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked M8046c6,479$3,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,473.488,13350.3%4,091 W · 4,042 L+169.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed M8075c5,596$4,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,413.645947.5%28 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8310…8967backed M8041c5,468$2,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,218.596243.5%27 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e8c…9a80backed Alliance50c5,258$2,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,608.731233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-39.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Alliance52c4,934$2,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,565.5257358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf743…1811backed Alliance22c4,751$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.4929831.5%94 W · 204 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked M8049c4,652$2,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,368.5666446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4108…9e22backed M8049c4,280$2,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,179.211940.3%48 W · 71 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf394…cdb1backed Alliance58c4,202$2,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4376650%33 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5674…8b14backed Alliance44c3,973$1,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,744.4736742.8%157 W · 210 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Alliance34c3,965$1,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,356.62,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed M8047c3,614$1,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,912.695,46631.5%1,722 W · 3,744 L-400.1wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x60c3…5947backed Alliance62c3,169$1,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9541330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-31.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Alliance38c3,058$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,170.173,27451.3%1,678 W · 1,596 L+91.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked M8050c3,047$1,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,528.619540%78 W · 117 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Alliance57c3,000$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,709.9835236.4%128 W · 224 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed Alliance65c2,965$1,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,939.9731345%141 W · 172 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7193…ae51backed Alliance61c2,949$1,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,813.4229858.4%174 W · 124 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed M8051c2,776$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,356.0546843.4%203 W · 265 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Alliance47c2,646$1,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,233.4924346.9%114 W · 129 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56b4…c4adbacked Alliance58c2,233$1,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,296.7913845.7%63 W · 75 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Alliance33c2,132$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.6261228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed M8043c2,125$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,211.1153746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked M8051c2,093$1,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.7948948.7%238 W · 251 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a1c…6165backed M8065c1,980$1,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.72520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-69.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed M8049c1,978$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.9721941.1%90 W · 129 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked M8037c1,963$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.5524538.4%94 W · 151 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed Alliance38c1,948$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.6348437.6%182 W · 302 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked M8034c1,901$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,247.1537140.2%149 W · 222 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Alliance38c1,897$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.4233148.6%161 W · 170 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed M8051c1,868$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.827443.1%118 W · 156 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd138…3140backed Alliance52c1,868$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.21225%3 W · 9 L-3.9wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-59.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Alliance52c1,846$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.924946.9%23 W · 26 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed M8050c1,825$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.1991743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e85…3015backed Alliance58c1,786$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.048563.5%54 W · 31 L+9.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+35%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a09…db1cbacked Alliance58c1,706$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.428261%50 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked M8045c1,677$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.131,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked M8043c1,671$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.4266151.9%343 W · 318 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed M8038c1,632$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.5662837.9%238 W · 390 L-23.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Alliance28c1,607$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.673,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked M8020c1,500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20082744.4%367 W · 460 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70ef…e25dbacked M8045c1,491$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.2513051.5%67 W · 63 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed M8050c1,455$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.537257.8%215 W · 157 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7972…594fbacked Alliance73c1,377$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.758951.7%46 W · 43 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed M8049c1,300$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.9946058.7%270 W · 190 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Alliance74c1,296$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.9951852.3%271 W · 247 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Alliance51c1,193$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.4826438.6%102 W · 162 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05b7…9f3abacked M8050c1,173$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.27616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-66.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked M8042c1,161$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.034850%24 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed M8049c1,147$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.212154.5%66 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab8d…6fe9backed Alliance58c1,128$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.153046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed M8052c1,110$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.084,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec7b…917ebacked Alliance41c1,101$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.9928340.3%114 W · 169 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9541…3b71backed Alliance35c1,006$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.092458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Alliance31c982.6$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.845,95437.7%2,247 W · 3,707 L+77.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked M8034c972.04$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.222,82937.7%1,066 W · 1,763 L-138.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…30d5backed Alliance52c970.8$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.266246.8%29 W · 33 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x85f9…51b1backed Alliance50c960$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48010753.3%57 W · 50 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked Alliance45c957.55$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.0866250.3%333 W · 329 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed Alliance54c933.93$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.7136554.8%200 W · 165 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Alliance52c931.03$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.1343261.1%264 W · 168 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Alliance54c902.19$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.7428243.6%123 W · 159 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Alliance50c858.86$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.4382851.9%430 W · 398 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd537…0f7cbacked M8049c845.25$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.0833457.8%193 W · 141 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked M8047c830.01$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.765,70747.2%2,694 W · 3,013 L+45.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43f2…09a5backed Alliance44c733.11$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.83966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+22.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Alliance54c721.65$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.5347245.1%213 W · 259 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f69…1535backed M8039c711.87$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.722161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0af…3b75backed Alliance55c707.68$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.3418342.1%77 W · 106 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6033…8a83backed M8033c706.9$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.6416033.1%53 W · 107 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed M8035c683.87$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.528434.9%99 W · 185 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8976…7367backed M8020c672.77$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.8115648.1%75 W · 81 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd752…7b4fbacked Alliance58c672.28$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.9227554.2%149 W · 126 L-20.8wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-13.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Alliance58c665.52$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38639239.8%156 W · 236 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed M8031c665.03$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.971,70447%801 W · 903 L-29.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Alliance52c655.27$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.8962838.2%240 W · 388 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed M8037c648.76$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.232653.1%173 W · 153 L-1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9533…569cbacked M8028c647$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+263.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x675f…aa0bbacked M8043c627.64$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.25747.4%27 W · 30 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed M8055c624.47$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.6555950.3%281 W · 278 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked Alliance58c619.97$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.5826650.4%134 W · 132 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7db…4fa3backed M8030c588.92$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.415446.3%25 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed Alliance51c582.36$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29776546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Alliance36c576.96$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.7131439.5%124 W · 190 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc426…20b4backed Alliance52c560.31$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.369656.3%54 W · 42 L+10.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+27.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked M8052c554.21$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.133,37545.7%1,542 W · 1,833 L-84.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.