CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30759b443ebcc842228ebbb6fd58fc2b4f3f4de742c5e8a25512c6bb5a420300
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- M80of M80, Alliance
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,156
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed Alliance | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Alliance | 15c | 7,169$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.01 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Alliance | 42c | 3,250$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.96 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Alliance | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed M80 | 49c | 2,122$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.4 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed M80 | 62c | 1,593$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.88 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9390backed M80 | 50c | 1,164$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked M80 | 48c | 1,008$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.61 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked M80 | 65c | 739.27$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.1 | 325 | 48.3%157 W · 168 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Alliance | 50c | 730$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Alliance | 44c | 688.3$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.91 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked M80 | 50c | 640.01$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Alliance | 40c | 602.69$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.03 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0af…3b75backed Alliance | 15c | 510.92$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.66 | 183 | 42.1%77 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked Alliance | 52c | 495.37$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.59 | 298 | 39.3%117 W · 181 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Alliance | 40c | 479.26$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.83 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked M80 | 63c | 452.88$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.48 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4969…6d77backed Alliance | 24c | 401$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.43 | 227 | 34.4%78 W · 149 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x136d…62ffbacked Alliance | 54c | 356.75$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.53 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed M80 | 58c | 315.81$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.82 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed M80 | 50c | 252.2$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.1 | 508 | 46.3%235 W · 273 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed M80 | 48c | 238.81$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.18 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ff…5f94backed Alliance | 8c | 236.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae27…6fb2backed Alliance | 15c | 218.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 159 | 30.8%49 W · 110 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Alliance | 51c | 209.63$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.76 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…c55ebacked Alliance | 25c | 192.75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Alliance | 15c | 189.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Alliance | 40c | 183.13$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.99 | 348 | 48.3%168 W · 180 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefd…afbcbacked Alliance | 31c | 180.59$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.68 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85f9…51b1backed Alliance | 34c | 175.2$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.04 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked M80 | 67c | 163.46$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…08ebbacked Alliance | 13c | 160$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Alliance | 39c | 135.86$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 268 | 36.6%98 W · 170 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked M80 | 71c | 131.73$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.27 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed M80 | 61c | 128.21$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed M80 | 47c | 115.8$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.84 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked M80 | 46c | 106.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.31 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed M80 | 59c | 103.82$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xeaff…5f75backed Alliance | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -9.3wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Alliance | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Alliance | 26c | 99.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed M80 | 69c | 98.78$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Alliance | 52c | 88.57$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked M80 | 66c | 81.16$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Alliance | 54c | 81.03$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.76 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd73e…bb87backed M80 | 50c | 70.49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked M80 | 79c | 62.31$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked Alliance | 34c | 56.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…c067backed Alliance | 54c | 54.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -6.5wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x22b0…ef31backed Alliance | 52c | 46.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc8…f527backed Alliance | 53c | 42.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 488 | 26.2%128 W · 360 L | -44.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked M80 | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Alliance | 49c | 37.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed M80 | 63c | 35.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…9798backed Alliance | 35c | 32.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked M80 | 71c | 29.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe332…8b83backed M80 | 57c | 27.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…2368backed Alliance | 53c | 27.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked M80 | 66c | 25.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked M80 | 62c | 25.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Alliance | 48c | 24.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15f2…f5e7backed M80 | 53c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd354…ff2fbacked Alliance | 53c | 20.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc74…2e57backed M80 | 65c | 19.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Alliance - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Alliance (BO3) - DraculaN PlayoffsM80 won
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Alliance - Map 1 WinnerAlliance won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.