CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Alliance - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf04a5afa13dc1958217aba1659476910b097061b9b196e9be49bdf4c2e42c73e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Allianceof M80, Alliance
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,642
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,436
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,642 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2529…548abacked M80 | 44c | 6,939$3,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,038.59 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Alliance | 48c | 3,129$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,621.16 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Alliance | 54c | 1,692$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.7 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed M80 | 42c | 1,692$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.08 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Alliance | 67c | 1,625$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.6 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Alliance | 67c | 1,606$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.57 | 279 | 50.2%140 W · 139 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed Alliance | 51c | 1,351$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.95 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked M80 | 37c | 1,348$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.7 | 325 | 48.3%157 W · 168 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked M80 | 44c | 1,262$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.17 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Alliance | 76c | 1,148$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.43 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Alliance | 68c | 1,016$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.01 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…fe9abacked M80 | 46c | 858.85$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.76 | 187 | 36.9%69 W · 118 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…7307backed M80 | 64c | 799.17$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.66 | 132 | 67.4%89 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9390backed M80 | 75c | 750.64$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.41 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed M80 | 51c | 677.51$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.26 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed M80 | 76c | 643.99$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.4 | 412 | 60.9%251 W · 161 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Alliance | 59c | 641$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.31 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Alliance | 65c | 598.92$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.22 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed M80 | 73c | 571.69$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.33 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed M80 | 32c | 508.98$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.31 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Alliance | 38c | 494.53$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.21 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Alliance | 62c | 473.13$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.97 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaff…5f75backed M80 | 51c | 419.15$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.74 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -9.3wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed M80 | 25c | 386.1$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.48 | 299 | 34.4%103 W · 196 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…e53dbacked M80 | 28c | 347.61$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.65 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked M80 | 34c | 318.49$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.48 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Alliance | 45c | 301.37$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.69 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Alliance | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf27e…d69dbacked M80 | 39c | 296.76$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.6 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Alliance | 23c | 286.58$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.66 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed M80 | 36c | 271.48$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.99 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed M80 | 41c | 255.45$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.62 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed M80 | 45c | 242.66$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.23 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed M80 | 74c | 237.74$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.45 | 238 | 61.3%146 W · 92 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Alliance | 53c | 229.47$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.89 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked M80 | 43c | 212.49$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.56 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa83a…34d6backed M80 | 24c | 199.65$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 203 | 32.5%66 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x136d…62ffbacked Alliance | 61c | 196.63$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.51 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed M80 | 33c | 192.92$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed M80 | 52c | 187.1$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.16 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed M80 | 24c | 181.11$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.15 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…a491backed M80 | 65c | 176.02$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.42 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Alliance | 57c | 170$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.1 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…d073backed M80 | 32c | 150.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bf…4bebbacked Alliance | 66c | 148.64$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked M80 | 54c | 146.29$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.31 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x270f…eb5ebacked M80 | 76c | 129.11$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.13 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4722…2abfbacked M80 | 16c | 127.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked M80 | 33c | 125.91$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Alliance | 40c | 124.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.83 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Alliance | 47c | 122.03$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.33 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c92…5567backed Alliance | 40c | 120.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.3 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Alliance | 55c | 118.54$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed M80 | 39c | 116.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4092…f145backed M80 | 12c | 115.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Alliance | 43c | 112.34$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.05 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Alliance | 69c | 112.08$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…c4adbacked Alliance | 73c | 111.67$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed M80 | 31c | 108.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Alliance | 38c | 108.64$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.36 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed M80 | 53c | 107.97$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.43 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed M80 | 41c | 104.88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.95 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfde…258abacked M80 | 43c | 102.93$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85f9…51b1backed Alliance | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc48…17b9backed M80 | 59c | 99.67$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.51 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd468…f6febacked M80 | 11c | 99.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 460 | 42.8%197 W · 263 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0af…3b75backed Alliance | 61c | 98.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.58 | 183 | 42.1%77 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34c0…b0e0backed Alliance | 65c | 98.07$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.33 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked M80 | 56c | 95.37$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd831…30c1backed M80 | 56c | 88.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x891c…ef89backed M80 | 62c | 88.43$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x757f…311dbacked Alliance | 61c | 80.64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.83 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e90…0bd0backed Alliance | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed Alliance | 67c | 74.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Alliance | 66c | 74.21$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 122 | 60.7%74 W · 48 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdde…af48backed Alliance | 67c | 73.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 139 | 64%89 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed M80 | 28c | 73.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…36d1backed M80 | 25c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked Alliance | 37c | 65.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefd…afbcbacked Alliance | 67c | 65.23$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Alliance | 76c | 64.54$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Alliance | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc8…f527backed M80 | 31c | 59.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 488 | 26.2%128 W · 360 L | -44.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ef…813bbacked Alliance | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Alliance | 55c | 52.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ff…6431backed Alliance | 76c | 51.92$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 231 | 65.8%152 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Alliance | 58c | 50.74$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 348 | 48.3%168 W · 180 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…b6d7backed Alliance | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Alliance | 40c | 49.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Alliance | 57c | 48.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Alliance | 36c | 48.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d5…e458backed Alliance | 50c | 46.57$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Alliance | 40c | 46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 217 | 39.2%85 W · 132 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed M80 | 38c | 43.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Alliance | 42c | 43.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.17 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Alliance | 52c | 43.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked M80 | 25c | 43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed M80 | 27c | 42.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | -9.4wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc38d…850abacked Alliance | 71c | 41.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Alliance | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Alliance - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Alliance (BO3) - DraculaN PlayoffsM80 won
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Alliance - Map 2 WinnerM80 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.