CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Nexus (BO3) - DraculaN Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacfada1a2fc06857a28da3a60c400665ccdac28979ab6def8a229296a4935003
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Inner Circle Esportsof Inner Circle Esports, Nexus
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,830
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,535
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,830 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Inner Circle Esports | 79c | 760.37$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.35 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Nexus | 26c | 661.3$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.21 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f69…1535backed Nexus | 17c | 540.78$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.93 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed Nexus | 26c | 299.98$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc762…15bbbacked Inner Circle Esports | 71c | 146.65$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed Inner Circle Esports | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 218 | 67%146 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Inner Circle Esports | 72c | 101$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked Nexus | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 319 | 33.5%107 W · 212 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08b0…dd13backed Inner Circle Esports | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…51fdbacked Nexus | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed Inner Circle Esports | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 497 | 66.8%332 W · 165 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked Inner Circle Esports | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Inner Circle Esports | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed Nexus | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdffe…b4d3backed Nexus | 31c | 36.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 146 | 30.8%45 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Inner Circle Esports | 63c | 33.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Inner Circle Esports | 76c | 31.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked Inner Circle Esports | 72c | 18.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Nexus (BO3) - DraculaN Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Nexus - Map 1 WinnerInner Circle Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Nexus - Map 2 WinnerInner Circle Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.