CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Nexus - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7b7387c237a23448383cd14ca30e59c84c889a7f4954c57a0adf5526843de40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Inner Circle Esportsof Inner Circle Esports, Nexus
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,627
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Inner Circle Esports | 59c | 1,493$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.9 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Nexus | 31c | 722.23$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.97 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Inner Circle Esports | 63c | 632.54$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.3 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nexus | 50c | 533.72$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.09 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Nexus | 21c | 500$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Nexus | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x883a…73b0backed Inner Circle Esports | 59c | 350$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Inner Circle Esports | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Inner Circle Esports | 48c | 202.36$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.33 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…c479backed Inner Circle Esports | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed Inner Circle Esports | 58c | 199.02$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.6 | 280 | 52.9%148 W · 132 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Nexus | 53c | 106.76$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.1 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff09…80b5backed Nexus | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Inner Circle Esports | 56c | 99.64$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.14 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Nexus | 59c | 76.4$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.73 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed Nexus | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Nexus | 54c | 65.21$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Nexus | 33c | 62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Nexus | 42c | 56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Inner Circle Esports | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Inner Circle Esports | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…6747backed Nexus | 35c | 43.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -16.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2d03…1f0abacked Inner Circle Esports | 68c | 43.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Inner Circle Esports | 62c | 43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Inner Circle Esports | 56c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked Nexus | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed Inner Circle Esports | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Nexus | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed Inner Circle Esports | 60c | 23.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe303…401abacked Inner Circle Esports | 70c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Nexus - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Nexus (BO3) - DraculaN Group BInner Circle Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Nexus - Map 1 WinnerInner Circle Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.