Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc63d34df52363ec40451886ea0c088078e82341d5d0710d947de37fcf7319028
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof Virtus.pro, Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,639
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,189
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,639 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Virtus.pro | 57c | 8,629$4,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,687.6 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Zero Tenacity | 44c | 2,340$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.41 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Zero Tenacity | 30c | 1,924$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.84 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Zero Tenacity | 12c | 1,620$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.46 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Zero Tenacity | 43c | 1,388$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.56 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Zero Tenacity | 42c | 1,100$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Zero Tenacity | 42c | 1,008$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.44 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Zero Tenacity | 44c | 961.22$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.25 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Virtus.pro | 59c | 953.92$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.82 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Zero Tenacity | 43c | 949.58$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.08 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Zero Tenacity | 40c | 889.15$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.74 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Zero Tenacity | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Zero Tenacity | 38c | 599.24$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.71 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Virtus.pro | 57c | 515.67$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.47 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…ae70backed Virtus.pro | 75c | 495.58$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.9 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Virtus.pro | 60c | 494.27$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.71 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Zero Tenacity | 40c | 449.81$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.98 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Zero Tenacity | 46c | 326.08$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee9…20a2backed Zero Tenacity | 28c | 264.88$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Virtus.pro | 64c | 250.48$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.91 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Virtus.pro | 65c | 244.75$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.66 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Zero Tenacity | 35c | 230$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Zero Tenacity | 39c | 220.72$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.64 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Virtus.pro | 65c | 214.46$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.86 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f69…1535backed Virtus.pro | 64c | 183.56$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…5cdebacked Virtus.pro | 61c | 160.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Virtus.pro | 62c | 158.87$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.37 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked Zero Tenacity | 14c | 145.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Zero Tenacity | 28c | 139.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.41 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Zero Tenacity | 26c | 139.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked Zero Tenacity | 44c | 138.62$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.39 | 269 | 58.7%158 W · 111 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Virtus.pro | 61c | 133.86$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.79 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Zero Tenacity | 15c | 130$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…4447backed Zero Tenacity | 39c | 125.01$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Zero Tenacity | 35c | 121.17$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.41 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Zero Tenacity | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed Virtus.pro | 67c | 103.47$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.38 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Virtus.pro | 63c | 98.94$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac17…eccabacked Zero Tenacity | 29c | 98.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Zero Tenacity | 42c | 92.45$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Zero Tenacity | 14c | 88.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Virtus.pro | 61c | 83.01$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Zero Tenacity | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked Zero Tenacity | 40c | 72.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Zero Tenacity | 25c | 46.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Virtus.pro | 64c | 43.53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Virtus.pro | 60c | 37.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed Zero Tenacity | 44c | 32.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 169 | 39.6%67 W · 102 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed Virtus.pro | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 606 | 60.7%368 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Virtus.pro | 65c | 27.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsVirtus.pro won
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 WinnerVirtus.pro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.