Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x956e02b6c7fbe123cb64e29c75162d11862a093d1f8ed07b143e1c6a84e048c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof Virtus.pro, Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,667
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,703
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,667 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x76af…f17ebacked Zero Tenacity | 32c | 3,677$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.19 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Zero Tenacity | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Zero Tenacity | 9c | 1,865$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.08 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Zero Tenacity | 38c | 1,492$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.07 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Zero Tenacity | 40c | 1,464$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.68 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Virtus.pro | 60c | 1,140$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.69 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Virtus.pro | 63c | 932.91$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.27 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Virtus.pro | 68c | 909.62$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.08 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Virtus.pro | 68c | 870$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.6 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Virtus.pro | 68c | 836.13$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.56 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Virtus.pro | 63c | 780.5$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.71 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Virtus.pro | 75c | 655.62$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.66 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked Zero Tenacity | 39c | 623.95$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.79 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Virtus.pro | 65c | 581.5$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.29 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee9…20a2backed Zero Tenacity | 7c | 554.7$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8681…ef99backed Zero Tenacity | 36c | 548.19$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.35 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb2…0b31backed Zero Tenacity | 37c | 500.99$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.37 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Virtus.pro | 61c | 455.34$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.58 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Zero Tenacity | 9c | 433.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.43 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Zero Tenacity | 17c | 369.39$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.8 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Zero Tenacity | 14c | 367.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Zero Tenacity | 39c | 325.11$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.79 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Virtus.pro | 65c | 311.79$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.57 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Zero Tenacity | 23c | 296.44$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.39 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Virtus.pro | 68c | 250.77$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.95 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fa…4a86backed Zero Tenacity | 13c | 250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed Virtus.pro | 60c | 244$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.6 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Zero Tenacity | 13c | 230.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Virtus.pro | 64c | 229.31$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.55 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c94…5b86backed Zero Tenacity | 39c | 192.68$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.15 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked Virtus.pro | 60c | 183$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Zero Tenacity | 6c | 167.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed Virtus.pro | 60c | 162.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Virtus.pro | 60c | 161.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.53 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Zero Tenacity | 35c | 160$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdde5…d1acbacked Virtus.pro | 65c | 150.62$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked Virtus.pro | 65c | 150.62$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Zero Tenacity | 39c | 150$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Zero Tenacity | 34c | 139.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb0…f493backed Virtus.pro | 80c | 123.97$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Virtus.pro | 60c | 121.94$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.78 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Virtus.pro | 61c | 120$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.1 | 198 | 57.1%113 W · 85 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Virtus.pro | 59c | 102.47$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.01 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Virtus.pro | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Zero Tenacity | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Zero Tenacity | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…cb28backed Zero Tenacity | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bae…61b8backed Zero Tenacity | 11c | 99.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Virtus.pro | 61c | 94.93$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.71 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Zero Tenacity | 13c | 90$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe31d…e7a4backed Virtus.pro | 60c | 81.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x298e…8a75backed Virtus.pro | 60c | 81.32$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Virtus.pro | 68c | 81.31$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked Virtus.pro | 61c | 80.32$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 147 | 62.6%92 W · 55 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x973a…52eabacked Zero Tenacity | 36c | 80.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Zero Tenacity | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 136 | 36%49 W · 87 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…108dbacked Zero Tenacity | 15c | 77.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Virtus.pro | 60c | 65.07$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Zero Tenacity | 17c | 60.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Virtus.pro | 62c | 58.63$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Zero Tenacity | 36c | 55.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Zero Tenacity | 29c | 55.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 245 | 18.8%46 W · 199 L | -31.2wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -46%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Virtus.pro | 58c | 47.62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b5…a0d7backed Zero Tenacity | 42c | 45.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 180 | 42.8%77 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Virtus.pro | 61c | 45.08$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd77…6223backed Zero Tenacity | 26c | 40.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed Virtus.pro | 67c | 39.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Virtus.pro | 61c | 39.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9368…8b01backed Zero Tenacity | 40c | 38.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed Virtus.pro | 61c | 34.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 132 | 59.8%79 W · 53 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Virtus.pro | 62c | 32.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5a…724cbacked Virtus.pro | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Virtus.pro | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x367d…ddf0backed Virtus.pro | 64c | 31.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Virtus.pro | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 268 | 46.6%125 W · 143 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Virtus.pro | 63c | 19.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 WinnerVirtus.pro won
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 WinnerVirtus.pro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.