Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcc933534e9828d063dceb3d81327eb40cc2bed06eee7eee61e1751cb929916f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof Virtus.pro, Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd20f…2f35backed Virtus.pro | 80c | 7,831$6,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.48 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…0a00backed Zero Tenacity | 39c | 2,470$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.4 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Zero Tenacity | 41c | 2,407$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.82 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Virtus.pro | 61c | 2,168$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.9 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Zero Tenacity | 17c | 2,022$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.56 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Zero Tenacity | 21c | 1,910$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.26 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Zero Tenacity | 23c | 1,730$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.64 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Virtus.pro | 71c | 1,476$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.32 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Virtus.pro | 60c | 1,370$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.06 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Zero Tenacity | 6c | 1,250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Virtus.pro | 73c | 1,244$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.23 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Virtus.pro | 59c | 1,001$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.49 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Zero Tenacity | 42c | 999.98$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.99 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a7…bcb7backed Zero Tenacity | 34c | 876.21$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.72 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Zero Tenacity | 33c | 817.45$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.44 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Zero Tenacity | 27c | 778.05$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.69 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Virtus.pro | 60c | 655.39$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.09 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Virtus.pro | 61c | 552.74$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.93 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Zero Tenacity | 37c | 548$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…05d6backed Zero Tenacity | 40c | 498.02$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.21 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Zero Tenacity | 33c | 378.68$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.23 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Virtus.pro | 75c | 263.75$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.79 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Zero Tenacity | 20c | 207.65$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Zero Tenacity | 36c | 200.33$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.12 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Virtus.pro | 66c | 200$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Zero Tenacity | 27c | 162.38$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.84 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Virtus.pro | 63c | 120$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.24 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e87…b044backed Virtus.pro | 59c | 119.1$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.83 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee9…20a2backed Zero Tenacity | 28c | 115$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Virtus.pro | 59c | 98.04$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Zero Tenacity | 41c | 97.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Virtus.pro | 67c | 91.59$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.32 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…f645backed Zero Tenacity | 32c | 89.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Virtus.pro | 62c | 87.24$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked Zero Tenacity | 40c | 77.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Virtus.pro | 64c | 69.47$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed Zero Tenacity | 22c | 64.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 169 | 39.6%67 W · 102 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Virtus.pro | 79c | 55.43$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddbe…0b07backed Zero Tenacity | 34c | 46.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Zero Tenacity | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Zero Tenacity | 39c | 39.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed Virtus.pro | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 606 | 60.7%368 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Zero Tenacity | 38c | 29.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa86a…644dbacked Virtus.pro | 78c | 18.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe2…2c56backed Virtus.pro | 61c | 17.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsVirtus.pro won
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 WinnerVirtus.pro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.