Tennis · resolved market
Campinas: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Juan Pablo Varillas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0342836f23389582fada41367f9b0583590f5055f2231f1d57ed7df470a406d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Juan Pablo Varillasof Gonzalo Villanueva, Juan Pablo Varillas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,221
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Gonzalo Villanueva | 15c | 12,890$1,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.3 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Gonzalo Villanueva | 11c | 7,244$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.76 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Gonzalo Villanueva | 10c | 1,264$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.88 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Gonzalo Villanueva | 26c | 821.87$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.39 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Gonzalo Villanueva | 17c | 602.36$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.51 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Gonzalo Villanueva | 16c | 594.31$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 223 | 37.7%84 W · 139 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Gonzalo Villanueva | 23c | 476.89$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.07 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…4961backed Gonzalo Villanueva | 24c | 398.4$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.45 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Gonzalo Villanueva | 15c | 339.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Gonzalo Villanueva | 23c | 319.95$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.33 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Gonzalo Villanueva | 21c | 310.45$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.67 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Gonzalo Villanueva | 26c | 299.98$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 74c | 250.78$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.48 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Gonzalo Villanueva | 23c | 221.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.08 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…d2b5backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 74c | 169.13$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.97 | 416 | 68%283 W · 133 L | +23.6wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7a…2488backed Gonzalo Villanueva | 18c | 166$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 89 | 68.5%61 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d5…7ca1backed Gonzalo Villanueva | 16c | 151.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 257 | 56%144 W · 113 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Gonzalo Villanueva | 27c | 141.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Gonzalo Villanueva | 11c | 133$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Gonzalo Villanueva | 17c | 127.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 66c | 124.5$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.33 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Gonzalo Villanueva | 17c | 123.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xbb70…6c66backed Gonzalo Villanueva | 34c | 121.72$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.39 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Gonzalo Villanueva | 22c | 110.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 128 | 31.3%40 W · 88 L | -20.8wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 74c | 106.42$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Gonzalo Villanueva | 11c | 105.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc7…7f02backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 80c | 99.82$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Gonzalo Villanueva | 14c | 99.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 584 | 53.1%310 W · 274 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Gonzalo Villanueva | 14c | 98.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…6e99backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 73c | 98.33$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…934dbacked Gonzalo Villanueva | 19c | 97.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 307 | 15.6%48 W · 259 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Gonzalo Villanueva | 20c | 94.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Gonzalo Villanueva | 19c | 93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 79c | 87.55$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 73c | 83$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd44…ad55backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 73c | 68.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f69…1535backed Gonzalo Villanueva | 23c | 66.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…b4f1backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 74c | 52.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 181 | 66.9%121 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ff…e3dfbacked Gonzalo Villanueva | 28c | 44.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d5…53d0backed Gonzalo Villanueva | 54c | 38.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Gonzalo Villanueva | 31c | 37.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 72c | 34.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a2…7a1fbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 184 | 78.8%145 W · 39 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…3f92backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 224 | 82.6%185 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 80cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 75c | 25.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7133…3fb1backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 75c | 19.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 53 | 81.1%43 W · 10 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x687f…5665backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 77c | 17.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.